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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.43+2.36vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.15+0.34vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.73-0.10vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University0.53+2.32vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.78-2.12vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.21+1.71vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.74-1.14vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.78+0.67vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.49+0.88vs Predicted
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10Bates College-2.06+0.71vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University-0.97-1.86vs Predicted
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12McGill University-0.51-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Brown University2.430.2%1st Place
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2.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.150.3%1st Place
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2.9Bowdoin College2.730.2%1st Place
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6.32Brandeis University0.530.0%1st Place
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2.88Tufts University2.780.2%1st Place
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7.71University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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5.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.740.0%1st Place
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8.67Middlebury College-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.88Wesleyan University-1.490.0%1st Place
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10.71Bates College-2.060.0%1st Place
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9.14Northeastern University-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.22McGill University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Whiteford | 15.6% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 24.9% | 14.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Winslow | 32.8% | 26.6% | 22.2% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frances Jimenez | 21.6% | 21.2% | 23.5% | 19.1% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Widdis | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 14.8% | 23.5% | 19.5% | 13.5% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Loy | 22.0% | 23.3% | 20.9% | 19.3% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Stavola | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 18.5% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Christina Wettersten | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 18.8% | 22.6% | 17.9% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Phoebe Howe | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 19.9% | 14.0% | 8.0% |
| Katherine Walker | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 27.8% | 21.6% |
| William Sartorius | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 51.9% |
| Kristen Kuzil | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 19.8% | 19.7% | 12.4% |
| Thomas Erwes | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 20.9% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.