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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.43+2.46vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.78+0.92vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.73-0.04vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.15-1.61vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.74+1.28vs Predicted
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6Bates College-2.06+4.86vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.21+0.97vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.41-1.21vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University0.53-2.44vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.49+0.10vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.78-1.90vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.51-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Brown University2.430.1%1st Place
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2.92Tufts University2.780.2%1st Place
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2.96Bowdoin College2.730.2%1st Place
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2.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.150.3%1st Place
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6.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.740.0%1st Place
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10.86Bates College-2.060.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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6.79Northeastern University0.410.0%1st Place
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6.56Brandeis University0.530.0%1st Place
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10.1Wesleyan University-1.490.0%1st Place
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9.1Middlebury College-0.780.0%1st Place
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8.61McGill University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Whiteford | 14.5% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 23.4% | 16.8% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Loy | 21.5% | 23.0% | 22.1% | 16.8% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frances Jimenez | 21.8% | 21.1% | 21.0% | 19.0% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Winslow | 32.3% | 26.3% | 20.8% | 13.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Wettersten | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 19.5% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| William Sartorius | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 19.6% | 54.7% |
| Catherine Stavola | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 10.2% | 2.4% |
| Linnea Goldstein | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| William Widdis | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Walker | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 28.4% | 27.6% |
| Phoebe Howe | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 24.5% | 20.1% | 8.4% |
| Thomas Erwes | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 19.0% | 15.2% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.