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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.48+3.01vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.68+2.90vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+2.70vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.42+4.87vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California-0.01+1.62vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.41+1.73vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.25+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.58+1.75vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.43-3.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-0.16vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.40-2.74vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29-4.51vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-3.05vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.63-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01University of California at Los Angeles1.4818.8%1st Place
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4.9University of California at San Diego0.6812.8%1st Place
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5.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.5110.2%1st Place
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8.87University of California at San Diego-0.424.2%1st Place
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6.62University of Southern California-0.017.7%1st Place
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7.73Arizona State University-0.416.7%1st Place
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7.52University of California at Berkeley-0.255.5%1st Place
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9.75University of California at Davis-0.583.4%1st Place
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5.69University of California at Los Angeles0.4311.0%1st Place
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9.84University of California at Los Angeles-1.032.6%1st Place
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8.26University of California at Berkeley-0.404.2%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Santa Cruz-0.296.3%1st Place
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9.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.002.7%1st Place
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8.67University of California at Berkeley-0.633.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gideon Burnes Heath | 18.8% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Noah Barton | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Max Case | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
Amanda Brooks | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% |
Eleanor Desai | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
Mitchell Powers | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
Sophia Jacobs | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
Jonah Brees | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 20.4% |
Zack Taylor | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
samson grunwald | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 19.3% |
Aivan Durfee | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% |
Lucas Elliott | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
Sienna Stromberg | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 20.0% |
Max Lawall | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.