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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.43+2.36vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.15+0.38vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.78-0.10vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.73-1.09vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.78+3.73vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.21+1.67vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University0.53-0.69vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.74-2.06vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University-0.97-0.02vs Predicted
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11McGill University-0.51-2.85vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-1.49-2.04vs Predicted
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13Bates College-2.06-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Brown University2.430.2%1st Place
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2.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.150.3%1st Place
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2.9Tufts University2.780.2%1st Place
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2.91Bowdoin College2.730.2%1st Place
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8.73Middlebury College-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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6.31Brandeis University0.530.0%1st Place
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5.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.740.0%1st Place
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8.98Northeastern University-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.15McGill University-0.510.0%1st Place
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9.96Wesleyan University-1.490.0%1st Place
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10.71Bates College-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Whiteford | 15.1% | 16.2% | 20.5% | 24.5% | 15.8% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Winslow | 32.1% | 26.8% | 21.1% | 13.1% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Loy | 22.8% | 21.0% | 21.1% | 19.7% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frances Jimenez | 21.2% | 23.9% | 20.4% | 19.3% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Howe | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 8.2% |
| Catherine Stavola | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| William Widdis | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 15.7% | 21.9% | 19.7% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Christina Wettersten | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 18.6% | 21.1% | 17.6% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kristen Kuzil | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 18.2% | 9.3% |
| Thomas Erwes | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 10.7% | 3.7% |
| Katherine Walker | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 25.0% | 26.5% |
| William Sartorius | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 20.5% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.