Race 1A

dark-night

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
David Liebenberg 29.5% 25.6% 18.4% 13.2% 7.5% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
William Hutchings 33.5% 25.9% 19.8% 12.1% 5.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Sommi 9.6% 10.5% 13.7% 18.8% 16.7% 17.3% 8.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Evan Gregory 4.1% 7.2% 10.2% 13.4% 17.0% 15.9% 16.1% 9.1% 5.4% 1.6%
James Fales 2.6% 3.3% 4.5% 5.5% 8.5% 10.2% 14.1% 20.8% 16.9% 13.6%
Jacob Hardy 2.5% 3.1% 3.8% 4.7% 7.1% 12.6% 14.4% 16.1% 21.1% 14.6%
Paige Fagan 1.8% 2.8% 3.6% 6.9% 8.8% 14.0% 16.4% 18.7% 16.3% 10.7%
Lisa Archibald 1.8% 3.3% 4.6% 4.5% 10.4% 11.8% 14.7% 17.0% 19.2% 12.7%
Sarah Mountjoy 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 2.5% 4.4% 4.1% 7.5% 12.4% 19.2% 46.6%
Timothy Harding 13.7% 17.4% 19.9% 18.4% 14.3% 8.1% 5.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.