Race 2A

dark-night

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
David Liebenberg 28.3% 26.2% 19.5% 12.2% 8.0% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
William Hutchings 33.3% 25.8% 20.0% 11.9% 6.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Hardy 1.7% 2.9% 4.0% 4.8% 7.4% 10.5% 13.0% 20.7% 20.2% 14.8%
Amanda Sommi 7.9% 11.7% 15.0% 20.5% 17.6% 13.6% 7.8% 3.9% 1.8% 0.2%
Evan Gregory 6.4% 7.3% 9.6% 11.3% 17.3% 18.6% 13.5% 9.5% 4.8% 1.7%
Paige Fagan 3.0% 3.3% 3.7% 5.5% 10.4% 11.1% 17.4% 18.5% 15.7% 11.4%
James Fales 2.0% 1.6% 4.0% 6.2% 7.8% 12.9% 16.8% 18.0% 18.2% 12.5%
Sarah Mountjoy 0.6% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 4.2% 5.1% 8.6% 11.3% 18.6% 46.3%
Timothy Harding 14.9% 16.6% 18.8% 19.3% 13.8% 9.8% 4.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Lisa Archibald 1.9% 3.0% 3.7% 6.3% 7.5% 11.8% 16.6% 16.1% 20.0% 13.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.