Race 3A

dark-night

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
William Hutchings 34.3% 24.6% 18.8% 12.1% 6.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Hardy 2.0% 2.5% 4.3% 4.7% 7.2% 10.7% 14.9% 19.9% 19.9% 13.9%
Lisa Archibald 2.3% 3.3% 3.0% 6.0% 7.1% 11.2% 16.0% 18.0% 20.2% 12.9%
Timothy Harding 13.2% 17.8% 20.1% 18.4% 14.4% 9.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Evan Gregory 6.6% 7.6% 8.4% 11.8% 17.3% 16.6% 15.0% 10.3% 4.3% 2.1%
Sarah Mountjoy 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 2.7% 2.9% 5.9% 8.7% 10.6% 18.4% 46.7%
Amanda Sommi 9.1% 11.0% 14.9% 19.4% 17.8% 14.4% 7.8% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
James Fales 2.2% 2.6% 3.8% 6.4% 8.4% 13.4% 15.8% 16.4% 17.5% 13.5%
Paige Fagan 2.3% 3.5% 4.1% 5.3% 10.2% 12.5% 14.7% 18.8% 18.2% 10.4%
David Liebenberg 26.8% 25.9% 20.9% 13.2% 8.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.