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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+2.83vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.73+2.30vs Predicted
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3Columbia University0.43+2.48vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.97-0.38vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.66+3.76vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.45+1.50vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.55+1.21vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.59+0.13vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.52-1.27vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.17+0.12vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-2.05+1.16vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.45-4.34vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55-4.94vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-2.74-0.53vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.52-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83Penn State University1.1320.2%1st Place
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4.3Christopher Newport University0.7314.4%1st Place
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5.48Columbia University0.439.3%1st Place
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3.62Virginia Tech0.9721.6%1st Place
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8.76Syracuse University-0.663.9%1st Place
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7.5Princeton University-0.454.3%1st Place
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8.21Washington College-0.553.8%1st Place
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8.13William and Mary-0.594.2%1st Place
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7.73SUNY Maritime College-0.524.4%1st Place
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10.12Drexel University-1.172.3%1st Place
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12.16University of Delaware-2.050.9%1st Place
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7.66SUNY Stony Brook-0.454.7%1st Place
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8.06Rochester Institute of Technology-0.554.6%1st Place
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13.47U. S. Military Academy-2.740.4%1st Place
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10.97Rutgers University-1.521.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 20.2% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 14.4% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 21.6% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Finian Knight | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 5.9% |
| Brendan van Riper | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 24.3% | 24.2% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Josh Elliott | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Nic Delia | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 18.2% | 53.9% |
| Cooper Bennett | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.