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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.64+2.26vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine3.43+1.78vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+0.97vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.23-0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California3.16-0.94vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles2.63-0.87vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-0.15vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.57-0.88vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis1.68-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Stanford University3.640.2%1st Place
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3.78University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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3.97University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.2%1st Place
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3.91University of Hawaii3.230.2%1st Place
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4.06University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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6.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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7.12University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Stemler | 22.9% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Rex Cameron | 13.4% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 15.2% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| William Petersen | 16.0% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Stephen Lue | 14.3% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 5.2% |
| Thomas Maher | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 25.1% | 25.1% |
| Aubrey Toole | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 15.8% | 22.1% | 34.5% |
| Ryan Lee | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 16.9% | 23.2% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.