Race 1B

dark-night

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nathan Allman 21.5% 25.9% 25.4% 14.9% 8.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jesse Thomas 7.4% 10.5% 16.4% 22.9% 18.1% 13.5% 7.2% 3.3% 0.7%
Rolfe Glover 10.2% 16.4% 19.5% 19.7% 18.2% 9.9% 4.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Zachary Karakouzian 1.5% 2.9% 4.8% 6.2% 9.4% 15.6% 20.2% 21.0% 18.4%
William Kresic 1.8% 2.8% 4.8% 6.9% 9.9% 15.9% 18.6% 21.2% 18.1%
Jamila Smith-Dell 0.7% 1.2% 1.9% 3.3% 5.2% 10.0% 11.4% 21.9% 44.4%
Matthew Vernacchia 2.2% 2.6% 4.1% 6.1% 9.5% 14.6% 21.7% 23.4% 15.8%
Pierre DuPont 5.2% 8.1% 10.6% 13.6% 19.2% 17.9% 15.2% 7.8% 2.4%
William Haeger 49.5% 29.6% 12.5% 6.4% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.