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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+4.86vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.11vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.38+2.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.68+0.92vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.41+2.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.25+1.53vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.40+1.38vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.43-2.35vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.42-0.02vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.63-1.30vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-1.06vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29-4.39vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-3.05vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.58-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.519.4%1st Place
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4.11University of California at Los Angeles1.4818.6%1st Place
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5.72University of Southern California0.3810.6%1st Place
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4.92University of California at San Diego0.6813.1%1st Place
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7.96Arizona State University-0.415.0%1st Place
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7.53University of California at Berkeley-0.255.5%1st Place
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8.38University of California at Berkeley-0.404.7%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Los Angeles0.4311.0%1st Place
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8.98University of California at San Diego-0.424.0%1st Place
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8.7University of California at Berkeley-0.634.0%1st Place
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9.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.002.7%1st Place
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7.61University of California at Santa Cruz-0.295.3%1st Place
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9.95University of California at Los Angeles-1.033.4%1st Place
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9.7University of California at Davis-0.582.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Case | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 18.6% | 18.0% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Noah Barton | 13.1% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Aivan Durfee | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 6.6% |
| Zack Taylor | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Brooks | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% |
| Max Lawall | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.2% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 20.1% |
| Lucas Elliott | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| samson grunwald | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 19.9% |
| Jonah Brees | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.