Race 2B

dark-night

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Pierre DuPont 5.2% 6.9% 10.9% 15.0% 18.8% 19.2% 15.3% 6.7% 2.0%
Nathan Allman 18.6% 26.7% 24.4% 15.7% 8.4% 5.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
William Haeger 50.8% 26.4% 13.5% 6.7% 2.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Rolfe Glover 11.5% 15.9% 19.3% 21.2% 17.2% 8.6% 4.5% 1.5% 0.3%
William Kresic 1.6% 2.5% 4.6% 6.6% 11.0% 14.5% 19.6% 20.7% 18.9%
Jesse Thomas 7.7% 14.3% 17.6% 18.4% 19.9% 13.6% 6.0% 2.1% 0.4%
Matthew Vernacchia 1.9% 3.1% 3.2% 6.6% 9.5% 15.2% 22.0% 23.8% 14.7%
Zachary Karakouzian 1.7% 2.5% 4.2% 6.6% 8.6% 15.2% 18.5% 24.3% 18.4%
Jamila Smith-Dell 1.0% 1.7% 2.3% 3.2% 4.2% 8.4% 13.1% 20.8% 45.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.