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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+0.87vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.27+0.89vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.85+3.56vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.36+0.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.57-1.30vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.76-0.36vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.81-3.00vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12-1.40vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut0.76-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Tufts University4.080.5%1st Place
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2.89Brown University3.270.2%1st Place
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6.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.850.0%1st Place
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4.04Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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3.7Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.64University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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5.0Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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7.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 49.1% | 27.6% | 13.8% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 18.1% | 28.0% | 23.2% | 16.0% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Vernacchia | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 20.1% | 21.5% | 16.7% |
| Jesse Thomas | 8.4% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 21.9% | 18.3% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Rolfe Glover | 12.0% | 16.3% | 20.7% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 21.9% | 22.2% | 17.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 21.5% | 19.4% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 21.9% | 44.2% |
| William Kresic | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 23.9% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.