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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+0.87vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+1.77vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.74-0.86vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.13vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.94vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-1.72-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Stanford University2.1948.9%1st Place
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3.77University of Rhode Island0.8812.7%1st Place
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3.71University of Hawaii1.0511.7%1st Place
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4.12University of California at Berkeley0.739.2%1st Place
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4.14University of Washington0.748.6%1st Place
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6.13University of California at San Diego-0.702.5%1st Place
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5.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.5%1st Place
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7.19California Poly Maritime Academy-1.721.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 48.9% | 28.2% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 12.7% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 11.7% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 9.2% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 8.7% | 1.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 8.6% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 8.9% | 2.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 16.8% | 34.8% | 21.5% |
| Florence Duff | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 22.0% | 20.3% | 6.8% |
| Cianna Coyle | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 15.9% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.