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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+3.35vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+1.20vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.73vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.92+0.69vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.30-1.04vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.89-1.31vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08-2.58vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.16-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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3.2Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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4.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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4.69Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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3.96Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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4.69Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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4.42Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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5.97Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 12.6% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 8.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 23.6% | 18.9% | 18.4% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 11.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 12.7% |
| William Bailey | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 13.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 14.2% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 14.1% |
| William Haeger | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 9.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.