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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.88+2.82vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.19-0.12vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+0.64vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.70+2.19vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+0.04vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.87vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.74-2.93vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-1.72-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82University of Rhode Island0.8811.0%1st Place
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1.88Stanford University2.1948.1%1st Place
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3.64University of Hawaii1.0512.7%1st Place
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6.19University of California at San Diego-0.702.2%1st Place
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5.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.5%1st Place
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4.13University of California at Berkeley0.739.4%1st Place
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4.07University of Washington0.7410.4%1st Place
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7.23California Poly Maritime Academy-1.720.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 11.0% | 14.9% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Sophie Fisher | 48.1% | 28.0% | 14.6% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 12.7% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 16.2% | 34.8% | 22.9% |
| Florence Duff | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 23.4% | 18.9% | 6.4% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 9.4% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 9.3% | 1.6% |
| Erin Pamplin | 10.4% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 2.1% |
| Cianna Coyle | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 17.1% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.