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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+3.33vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.30+1.94vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.71vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.92+0.71vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.16+1.10vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.71-2.84vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05-2.55vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.89-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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3.94Brown University4.300.2%1st Place
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4.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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4.71Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.1Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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3.16Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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4.45Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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4.6Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 11.7% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% |
| Tommy Fink | 15.5% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 4.6% |
| Andrew Sommer | 11.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 12.3% |
| William Bailey | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 13.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 37.7% |
| Alec Anderson | 22.6% | 21.9% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 12.5% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 9.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 11.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.