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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.88+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.05+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.09vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.01vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.19-3.16vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.18vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.74-2.80vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-1.72-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Rhode Island0.8811.6%1st Place
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3.7University of Hawaii1.0511.9%1st Place
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4.09University of California at Berkeley0.738.8%1st Place
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5.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.3%1st Place
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1.84Stanford University2.1949.9%1st Place
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6.18University of California at San Diego-0.702.4%1st Place
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4.2University of Washington0.748.8%1st Place
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7.24California Poly Maritime Academy-1.721.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 11.6% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 11.9% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 8.8% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 20.0% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 1.8% |
| Florence Duff | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 21.8% | 19.4% | 6.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 49.9% | 27.3% | 14.7% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 36.2% | 21.6% |
| Erin Pamplin | 8.8% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 17.0% | 9.0% | 1.6% |
| Cianna Coyle | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 15.9% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.