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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+3.30vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+2.71vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+1.45vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.89+0.71vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.30-1.03vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.160.00vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.25vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.71-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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4.71Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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4.45Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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4.71Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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3.97Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.0Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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4.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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3.11Roger Williams University4.710.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 12.1% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 7.8% |
| William Bailey | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 11.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 12.2% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 9.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 12.5% |
| Tommy Fink | 13.5% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 5.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.6% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 38.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 14.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 25.8% | 20.2% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.