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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.12vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.19-2.16vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.74-0.91vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.70-0.91vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-1.72-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Hawaii1.0511.2%1st Place
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3.76University of Rhode Island0.8812.4%1st Place
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4.12University of California at Berkeley0.738.6%1st Place
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1.84Stanford University2.1950.1%1st Place
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4.09University of Washington0.749.2%1st Place
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5.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.264.8%1st Place
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6.09University of California at San Diego-0.702.9%1st Place
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7.26California Poly Maritime Academy-1.720.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 11.2% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 12.4% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 8.6% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 1.8% |
| Sophie Fisher | 50.1% | 27.9% | 13.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 9.2% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 1.6% |
| Florence Duff | 4.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 22.2% | 21.2% | 6.8% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 36.4% | 20.0% |
| Cianna Coyle | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 15.4% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.