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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+3.36vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.75vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+1.67vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.89+0.75vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.16+1.10vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.71-2.82vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08-2.60vs Predicted
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8Brown University4.30-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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4.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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4.67Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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4.75Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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6.1Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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3.18Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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4.4Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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3.81Brown University4.300.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% |
| Andrew Sommer | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 12.1% |
| William Bailey | 12.0% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 11.5% |
| Cam Cullman | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 13.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 37.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 22.2% | 22.5% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| William Haeger | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 8.9% |
| Tommy Fink | 16.8% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.