← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.41+2.18vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+0.86vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.70+1.50vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.88vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+0.78vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego0.68+0.39vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy1.31-2.33vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles1.48-2.29vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.18Stanford University2.4123.2%1st Place
-
2.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.0427.2%1st Place
-
4.5University of Hawaii1.7011.0%1st Place
-
5.88University of California at Berkeley0.985.5%1st Place
-
5.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.8%1st Place
-
6.39University of California at San Diego0.684.2%1st Place
-
4.67California Poly Maritime Academy1.3111.1%1st Place
-
5.71University of California at Los Angeles1.486.7%1st Place
-
6.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lim | 23.2% | 20.2% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Chris Kayda | 27.2% | 24.4% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Owen Lahr | 11.0% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 16.4% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 16.2% |
| Noah Barton | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 23.9% |
| Kyle Farmer | 11.1% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 4.9% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 14.4% |
| George Soliman | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.