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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.73+3.12vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.19-0.13vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.74+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.05-0.32vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.88-1.24vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.70-0.84vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-1.94-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of California at Berkeley0.739.2%1st Place
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1.87Stanford University2.1949.2%1st Place
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4.04University of Washington0.749.8%1st Place
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3.68University of Hawaii1.0511.3%1st Place
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3.76University of Rhode Island0.8811.4%1st Place
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4.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.266.2%1st Place
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6.16University of California at San Diego-0.702.2%1st Place
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7.4California Poly Maritime Academy-1.940.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingsley Ehrich | 9.2% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 1.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 49.2% | 27.3% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 9.8% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 11.3% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 11.4% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Florence Duff | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 23.1% | 20.1% | 4.7% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 38.0% | 19.8% |
| Julia Mast | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 15.2% | 71.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.