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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.41+2.13vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+0.96vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+2.92vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.48+1.76vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.70-0.56vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-0.01vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.31-2.35vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.13vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.68-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Stanford University2.4124.4%1st Place
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2.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.0425.4%1st Place
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5.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.8%1st Place
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5.76University of California at Los Angeles1.486.2%1st Place
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4.44University of Hawaii1.7010.8%1st Place
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5.99University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.5%1st Place
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4.65California Poly Maritime Academy1.3110.7%1st Place
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5.87University of California at Berkeley0.986.2%1st Place
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6.28University of California at San Diego0.685.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lim | 24.4% | 19.7% | 19.0% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Chris Kayda | 25.4% | 23.5% | 18.2% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 16.6% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 15.2% |
| Owen Lahr | 10.8% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| George Soliman | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 18.4% |
| Kyle Farmer | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 16.5% |
| Noah Barton | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.