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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California3.16+3.26vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.64+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine3.43+0.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.57+2.36vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.23-1.91vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University1.04+1.42vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles2.63-2.70vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis1.68-1.72vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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3.36Stanford University3.640.2%1st Place
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3.78University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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4.03University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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7.36University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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4.09University of Hawaii3.230.2%1st Place
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8.42Santa Clara University1.040.0%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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7.28University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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7.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Lue | 14.0% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Peter Stemler | 21.4% | 19.1% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 17.4% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 13.3% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Aubrey Toole | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 22.2% | 21.5% |
| William Petersen | 16.6% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Wyman | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 23.4% | 41.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Lee | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 19.5% | 21.0% | 17.4% |
| Thomas Maher | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.