Race 2A

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jake Reynolds 9.7% 11.7% 11.6% 10.6% 9.7% 9.1% 8.1% 7.3% 5.6% 5.7% 5.4% 2.1% 2.2% 1.2%
Caleb Armstrong 6.3% 6.3% 7.4% 6.5% 7.0% 7.9% 7.3% 8.0% 9.8% 9.0% 7.8% 8.2% 5.2% 3.3%
Ian Towill 5.7% 5.4% 8.0% 6.0% 5.4% 7.8% 7.4% 9.1% 7.4% 7.6% 10.8% 7.7% 7.5% 4.2%
Avery Fanning 16.0% 14.3% 13.5% 12.0% 10.2% 9.3% 7.2% 5.1% 4.4% 3.5% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 5.8% 6.4% 8.0% 8.3% 9.0% 7.5% 8.6% 8.3% 8.2% 8.3% 9.1% 6.4% 3.5% 2.6%
Joan Boyle 0.9% 2.6% 1.2% 2.4% 1.6% 2.7% 2.8% 3.2% 3.6% 4.0% 7.4% 12.1% 15.7% 39.8%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 3.7% 4.2% 4.2% 4.0% 5.4% 5.0% 5.8% 4.6% 7.9% 9.6% 9.7% 10.5% 14.1% 11.3%
Kevin Martland 12.8% 11.8% 11.6% 10.2% 9.8% 8.5% 6.8% 7.9% 6.2% 5.6% 4.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.4%
Griffin Orr 3.7% 2.9% 2.6% 3.4% 4.4% 3.6% 5.0% 6.5% 7.5% 8.7% 10.1% 13.3% 15.9% 12.4%
Ian Connors 2.6% 2.8% 2.9% 2.1% 4.4% 5.2% 5.4% 6.4% 7.3% 8.2% 8.2% 13.3% 16.7% 14.5%
Kyle Carney 8.9% 6.7% 6.8% 8.2% 9.0% 8.7% 8.9% 8.9% 7.9% 6.7% 7.2% 5.3% 4.7% 2.1%
Don Hause III 4.3% 4.9% 5.5% 5.6% 6.2% 6.6% 7.9% 8.6% 8.7% 9.4% 8.6% 9.4% 7.9% 6.4%
Michael Croteau 9.7% 9.5% 7.7% 10.9% 9.1% 8.8% 9.4% 9.1% 6.7% 6.3% 4.6% 4.4% 2.7% 1.1%
Gordon Wolcott 9.9% 10.5% 9.0% 9.8% 8.8% 9.3% 9.4% 7.0% 8.8% 7.4% 4.1% 3.5% 1.9% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.