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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+0.87vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.05+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.88+0.77vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.00vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.74-0.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.87vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.70-0.89vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-1.94-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Stanford University2.1950.8%1st Place
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3.76University of Hawaii1.0511.6%1st Place
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3.77University of Rhode Island0.8810.9%1st Place
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5.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.5%1st Place
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4.02University of Washington0.749.2%1st Place
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4.13University of California at Berkeley0.738.3%1st Place
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6.11University of California at San Diego-0.702.7%1st Place
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7.35California Poly Maritime Academy-1.940.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 50.8% | 24.9% | 14.3% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 11.6% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 19.0% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 10.9% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Florence Duff | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 22.9% | 20.4% | 5.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 9.2% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 6.8% | 0.9% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 8.3% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 9.0% | 1.5% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 39.4% | 18.6% |
| Julia Mast | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 13.7% | 71.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.