Race 3A

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alden Sonnenfeldt 3.4% 2.7% 3.4% 5.3% 4.4% 4.8% 6.3% 6.6% 6.7% 8.0% 10.5% 12.0% 14.3% 11.6%
Michael Croteau 9.9% 10.5% 10.6% 8.2% 8.7% 9.1% 8.6% 7.5% 8.5% 7.7% 4.7% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5%
Gordon Wolcott 10.5% 11.1% 8.0% 8.4% 8.2% 8.9% 10.2% 6.8% 8.5% 6.3% 5.9% 3.4% 2.5% 1.3%
Kevin Martland 11.1% 12.2% 12.7% 10.6% 9.4% 9.5% 7.8% 6.2% 7.4% 6.0% 2.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.8%
Ian Towill 4.4% 5.7% 6.4% 7.3% 6.6% 7.5% 7.2% 8.3% 8.5% 8.5% 9.5% 9.0% 6.4% 4.7%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 7.0% 6.4% 7.6% 7.6% 8.9% 8.4% 7.0% 8.8% 9.1% 7.2% 7.7% 6.7% 5.1% 2.5%
Joan Boyle 1.7% 1.4% 1.8% 3.0% 2.7% 3.3% 2.7% 4.0% 4.7% 5.8% 6.6% 10.4% 15.0% 36.9%
Don Hause III 5.9% 5.0% 5.8% 5.3% 6.2% 6.0% 7.8% 8.1% 7.5% 7.5% 9.4% 10.9% 8.9% 5.7%
Jake Reynolds 10.4% 9.5% 9.1% 9.9% 11.9% 7.6% 9.8% 8.5% 6.5% 5.6% 5.3% 3.2% 2.0% 0.7%
Caleb Armstrong 5.3% 5.2% 5.5% 7.8% 6.9% 7.3% 7.8% 7.6% 8.5% 9.0% 9.0% 8.6% 8.1% 3.4%
Griffin Orr 2.7% 3.6% 3.2% 3.5% 4.0% 5.4% 4.6% 5.2% 6.7% 9.2% 9.2% 12.8% 15.4% 14.5%
Ian Connors 2.7% 2.7% 3.3% 3.0% 4.2% 4.8% 5.6% 6.0% 6.3% 8.6% 10.5% 12.1% 15.5% 14.7%
Avery Fanning 16.6% 15.5% 14.2% 12.1% 9.4% 8.4% 6.2% 6.5% 4.1% 3.0% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Kyle Carney 8.4% 8.5% 8.4% 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 8.4% 9.9% 7.0% 7.6% 6.8% 4.5% 3.5% 1.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.