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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.98+4.88vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+0.97vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.41+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.48+1.74vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.70-0.57vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-1.06vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.31-3.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.68-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88University of California at Berkeley0.985.0%1st Place
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2.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.0426.0%1st Place
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3.05Stanford University2.4125.0%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Los Angeles1.486.2%1st Place
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4.43University of Hawaii1.7013.2%1st Place
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5.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.1%1st Place
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5.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.3%1st Place
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4.73California Poly Maritime Academy1.3110.0%1st Place
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6.32University of California at San Diego0.684.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 16.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 26.0% | 23.8% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Justin Lim | 25.0% | 21.4% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 14.8% |
| Owen Lahr | 13.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 16.9% |
| George Soliman | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 17.2% |
| Kyle Farmer | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 4.5% |
| Noah Barton | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.