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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+0.84vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.05+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.88+0.81vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.74-0.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.09vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-2.02vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-1.94-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Stanford University2.1950.6%1st Place
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3.76University of Hawaii1.0511.2%1st Place
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3.81University of Rhode Island0.8810.5%1st Place
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4.11University of California at Berkeley0.739.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Washington0.7410.0%1st Place
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6.09University of California at San Diego-0.702.1%1st Place
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4.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.7%1st Place
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7.39California Poly Maritime Academy-1.940.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 50.6% | 27.5% | 13.1% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 11.2% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 10.5% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 9.1% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 1.7% |
| Erin Pamplin | 10.0% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 8.0% | 1.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 16.0% | 38.7% | 17.5% |
| Florence Duff | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 22.9% | 19.5% | 5.4% |
| Julia Mast | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 13.9% | 72.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.