Race 4A

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Gordon Wolcott 8.9% 10.4% 10.8% 10.0% 8.6% 9.7% 8.7% 6.5% 6.6% 6.8% 5.8% 3.2% 2.8% 1.2%
Ian Towill 6.2% 6.8% 6.7% 5.5% 7.1% 8.0% 6.9% 8.0% 8.5% 9.7% 8.7% 9.3% 5.1% 3.5%
Kyle Carney 8.1% 8.4% 9.5% 7.1% 7.9% 8.2% 8.9% 8.3% 7.7% 7.4% 8.1% 4.9% 3.8% 1.7%
Jake Reynolds 9.4% 12.4% 9.2% 9.9% 9.7% 7.1% 9.4% 8.5% 7.9% 6.9% 4.0% 3.1% 1.9% 0.6%
Joan Boyle 1.5% 0.9% 1.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.4% 3.7% 3.8% 3.5% 5.0% 7.1% 9.1% 16.9% 39.6%
Griffin Orr 3.1% 3.1% 3.4% 2.6% 4.6% 3.4% 5.0% 6.5% 8.2% 7.8% 10.0% 13.8% 13.9% 14.6%
Ian Connors 3.8% 2.6% 3.7% 5.3% 3.7% 5.3% 5.3% 5.1% 7.7% 5.9% 10.3% 13.0% 15.2% 13.1%
Caleb Armstrong 6.4% 5.4% 7.2% 7.4% 6.1% 7.2% 7.4% 6.9% 7.7% 8.1% 9.4% 9.5% 7.4% 3.9%
Avery Fanning 14.9% 15.2% 12.1% 12.6% 10.8% 10.0% 7.0% 7.1% 3.2% 2.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Kevin Martland 11.5% 11.8% 11.7% 9.9% 10.1% 9.8% 8.0% 7.6% 7.2% 4.7% 3.8% 2.2% 1.5% 0.2%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 8.0% 6.3% 5.2% 8.0% 9.5% 7.6% 8.1% 8.7% 7.2% 10.3% 6.7% 7.2% 4.9% 2.3%
Don Hause III 4.9% 4.3% 4.8% 6.3% 6.2% 7.4% 6.7% 8.3% 7.7% 9.9% 10.2% 8.6% 8.8% 5.9%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 3.5% 3.2% 4.3% 3.5% 5.1% 3.2% 6.2% 6.5% 9.0% 7.3% 9.7% 10.9% 14.8% 12.8%
Michael Croteau 9.8% 9.2% 9.9% 9.4% 8.1% 10.7% 8.7% 8.2% 7.9% 7.5% 3.9% 3.7% 2.4% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.