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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+1.90vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.70+2.32vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.66vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.41-0.92vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+0.86vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-0.89vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.09vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-2.08vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.68-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.0426.4%1st Place
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4.32University of Hawaii1.7012.4%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Los Angeles1.486.2%1st Place
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3.08Stanford University2.4125.2%1st Place
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5.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.136.0%1st Place
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5.11California Poly Maritime Academy1.208.5%1st Place
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5.91University of California at Berkeley0.985.0%1st Place
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5.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.826.4%1st Place
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6.25University of California at San Diego0.684.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 26.4% | 22.9% | 18.3% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Owen Lahr | 12.4% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 14.0% |
| Justin Lim | 25.2% | 21.1% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kai Ponting | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 15.7% |
| Ryan Downey | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.8% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 16.2% |
| George Soliman | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 17.9% |
| Noah Barton | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.