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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+1.86vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.41+1.01vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.70+1.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.59vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+0.55vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-1.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.48-1.58vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.15-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.0428.3%1st Place
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3.01Stanford University2.4124.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Hawaii1.7012.5%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Berkeley0.986.5%1st Place
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5.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.136.2%1st Place
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4.91California Poly Maritime Academy1.208.2%1st Place
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5.42University of California at Los Angeles1.487.8%1st Place
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7.62University of California at San Diego-0.151.5%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 28.3% | 21.6% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Justin Lim | 24.1% | 22.4% | 18.9% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Lahr | 12.5% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 10.7% |
| Kai Ponting | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 9.6% |
| Ryan Downey | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 5.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 8.3% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 53.1% |
| George Soliman | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.