Race 7A

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kevin Martland 12.9% 11.6% 12.0% 11.0% 10.2% 8.3% 8.9% 5.5% 5.8% 4.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5%
Michael Croteau 10.5% 10.9% 8.5% 8.9% 9.6% 7.7% 9.9% 8.1% 7.6% 7.7% 4.7% 2.9% 2.3% 0.7%
Kyle Carney 7.7% 9.3% 7.9% 8.2% 7.8% 8.4% 8.5% 9.0% 7.4% 7.4% 8.0% 5.9% 3.9% 0.6%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 2.6% 2.5% 4.5% 3.8% 4.8% 6.3% 5.1% 5.5% 7.5% 6.9% 10.8% 13.3% 14.5% 11.9%
Jake Reynolds 9.3% 9.8% 11.0% 10.6% 8.6% 9.2% 7.1% 8.3% 8.7% 7.2% 4.3% 3.1% 1.7% 1.1%
Gordon Wolcott 9.2% 8.7% 8.0% 11.4% 9.2% 8.7% 8.3% 7.7% 7.0% 7.6% 5.3% 4.5% 3.1% 1.3%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 7.2% 9.5% 8.0% 8.7% 7.7% 7.1% 8.8% 9.3% 8.6% 6.9% 6.5% 5.9% 3.9% 1.9%
Griffin Orr 3.8% 2.4% 4.7% 4.4% 3.9% 5.7% 5.1% 4.8% 5.8% 9.1% 9.9% 11.6% 14.2% 14.6%
Avery Fanning 15.2% 15.0% 12.9% 11.6% 11.2% 10.4% 6.6% 5.7% 4.6% 3.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.4%
Joan Boyle 2.0% 1.8% 1.5% 1.6% 1.2% 2.1% 2.8% 3.3% 4.6% 6.0% 7.2% 10.1% 15.6% 40.2%
Ian Towill 5.8% 5.2% 5.9% 5.7% 7.3% 7.4% 6.6% 9.4% 8.0% 9.7% 8.3% 9.5% 6.5% 4.7%
Don Hause III 4.8% 4.4% 5.0% 5.6% 6.7% 5.7% 9.2% 8.4% 7.9% 10.1% 9.5% 7.6% 9.5% 5.6%
Caleb Armstrong 6.2% 6.2% 6.4% 5.2% 6.9% 7.7% 8.0% 8.9% 8.8% 8.2% 8.6% 9.4% 5.9% 3.6%
Ian Connors 2.8% 2.7% 3.7% 3.3% 4.9% 5.3% 5.1% 6.1% 7.7% 5.4% 10.6% 12.5% 17.0% 12.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.