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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.41+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.70+1.46vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+1.19vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.48+0.65vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-0.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-2.07vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.68-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Stanford University2.4126.1%1st Place
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2.92University of California at Santa Barbara2.0425.9%1st Place
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4.46University of Hawaii1.7012.2%1st Place
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5.19California Poly Maritime Academy1.208.1%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Los Angeles1.486.3%1st Place
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5.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.5%1st Place
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5.79University of California at Berkeley0.985.8%1st Place
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5.93University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.5%1st Place
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6.18University of California at San Diego0.684.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lim | 26.1% | 21.6% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Chris Kayda | 25.9% | 22.2% | 19.2% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Owen Lahr | 12.2% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Ryan Downey | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 8.8% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 14.2% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 15.8% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 16.2% |
| George Soliman | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 18.1% |
| Noah Barton | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.