Race 8A

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Caleb Armstrong 5.2% 6.0% 6.8% 6.9% 8.2% 7.0% 7.6% 7.8% 10.7% 8.5% 6.9% 8.4% 6.1% 3.9%
Jake Reynolds 12.0% 10.3% 10.3% 9.0% 11.6% 9.8% 9.1% 6.8% 7.8% 4.1% 3.0% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 7.1% 7.6% 7.4% 7.8% 7.6% 8.3% 8.4% 7.8% 9.1% 8.1% 8.1% 6.7% 3.8% 2.2%
Ian Connors 2.2% 2.6% 3.3% 4.4% 3.7% 5.4% 5.0% 6.2% 6.2% 8.3% 10.3% 11.2% 16.2% 15.0%
Kevin Martland 10.2% 11.0% 12.3% 11.6% 10.2% 8.6% 8.5% 7.0% 6.8% 5.8% 3.3% 2.6% 1.3% 0.8%
Griffin Orr 2.9% 3.5% 3.1% 3.7% 3.6% 4.0% 4.9% 5.7% 7.1% 10.4% 9.4% 11.4% 16.5% 13.8%
Avery Fanning 18.4% 15.9% 13.6% 11.9% 10.0% 7.2% 7.6% 6.7% 3.0% 2.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 9.6% 11.1% 8.8% 8.8% 9.2% 8.8% 9.3% 6.9% 5.6% 7.6% 7.2% 3.9% 2.2% 1.0%
Joan Boyle 2.1% 1.6% 2.0% 2.0% 1.4% 2.2% 2.5% 3.3% 3.6% 5.3% 7.8% 10.3% 17.2% 38.7%
Kyle Carney 7.2% 6.7% 8.3% 8.5% 9.2% 9.3% 7.6% 8.4% 8.8% 7.5% 8.1% 4.9% 4.6% 0.9%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 2.8% 3.2% 3.3% 4.7% 4.4% 4.9% 5.4% 5.8% 7.6% 7.8% 9.6% 13.9% 13.0% 13.6%
Don Hause III 4.4% 4.7% 4.5% 5.7% 7.2% 6.7% 7.9% 8.2% 8.6% 7.9% 9.4% 10.6% 9.1% 5.1%
Ian Towill 6.3% 5.8% 6.6% 6.2% 5.6% 7.8% 7.4% 10.1% 7.6% 9.7% 8.4% 8.6% 6.3% 3.6%
Michael Croteau 9.6% 10.0% 9.7% 8.8% 8.1% 10.0% 8.8% 9.3% 7.5% 6.2% 6.5% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.