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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+5.91vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+3.22vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+3.43vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.19+3.48vs Predicted
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5The Citadel1.22+4.66vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.95+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.63+3.57vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.64-1.12vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology0.73+0.06vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.34-2.65vs Predicted
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11Duke University0.06+0.58vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-1.99vs Predicted
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13Florida International University0.52-2.48vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.02-5.34vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University0.55-4.22vs Predicted
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16Clemson University-0.77-1.64vs Predicted
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17Rollins College-0.06-4.58vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91University of South Florida1.548.0%1st Place
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5.22North Carolina State University1.7814.0%1st Place
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6.43Jacksonville University-1.3810.2%1st Place
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7.48University of South Florida1.197.2%1st Place
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9.66The Citadel1.224.0%1st Place
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6.32Florida State University1.9510.4%1st Place
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10.57University of South Carolina0.632.9%1st Place
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6.88University of Miami1.649.1%1st Place
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9.06Florida Institute of Technology0.734.9%1st Place
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7.35Eckerd College1.347.9%1st Place
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11.58Duke University0.062.5%1st Place
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10.01Georgia Institute of Technology0.414.0%1st Place
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10.52Florida International University0.523.4%1st Place
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8.66University of South Florida1.025.5%1st Place
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10.78Embry-Riddle University0.553.0%1st Place
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14.36Clemson University-0.771.1%1st Place
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12.42Rollins College-0.061.7%1st Place
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16.77University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Street | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Steven Hardee | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| matthew Monts | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
| Roberto Martelli | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 27.8% | 17.4% |
| KA Hamner | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 4.6% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 13.2% | 66.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.