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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+4.27vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.95+4.11vs Predicted
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3Florida International University0.52+7.59vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38+2.53vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.73+4.35vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.06+6.33vs Predicted
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7The Citadel1.22+2.65vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.34-0.66vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.02-0.36vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.77+4.54vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.64-4.38vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.19-4.61vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina0.63-2.27vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University0.55-3.32vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.54-8.24vs Predicted
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16Duke University0.06-4.43vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-6.87vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27North Carolina State University1.7813.1%1st Place
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6.11Florida State University1.9510.2%1st Place
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10.59Florida International University0.523.8%1st Place
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6.53Jacksonville University-1.389.7%1st Place
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9.35Florida Institute of Technology0.734.7%1st Place
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12.33Rollins College-0.061.9%1st Place
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9.65The Citadel1.224.1%1st Place
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7.34Eckerd College1.347.0%1st Place
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8.64University of South Florida1.025.9%1st Place
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14.54Clemson University-0.771.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Miami1.649.2%1st Place
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7.39University of South Florida1.197.1%1st Place
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10.73University of South Carolina0.633.4%1st Place
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10.68Embry-Riddle University0.552.9%1st Place
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6.76University of South Florida1.548.8%1st Place
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11.57Duke University0.063.1%1st Place
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10.13Georgia Institute of Technology0.413.9%1st Place
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16.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Emily Allen | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| KA Hamner | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 5.3% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| matthew Monts | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 30.4% | 17.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ian Street | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 3.1% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 12.6% | 67.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.