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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+5.80vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.64+4.77vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.54+3.82vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.95+2.15vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.34+2.42vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.78-0.88vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.73+2.11vs Predicted
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8The Citadel1.22+1.55vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+1.09vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.19-2.66vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.63-0.46vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University0.55-1.20vs Predicted
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13Duke University0.06-1.36vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.02-5.45vs Predicted
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15Florida International University0.52-4.37vs Predicted
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16Rollins College-0.06-3.54vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-0.77-2.55vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Jacksonville University-1.389.2%1st Place
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6.77University of Miami1.648.7%1st Place
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6.82University of South Florida1.548.0%1st Place
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6.15Florida State University1.9510.6%1st Place
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7.42Eckerd College1.347.1%1st Place
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5.12North Carolina State University1.7815.4%1st Place
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9.11Florida Institute of Technology0.734.7%1st Place
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9.55The Citadel1.223.9%1st Place
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10.09Georgia Institute of Technology0.413.3%1st Place
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7.34University of South Florida1.197.8%1st Place
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10.54University of South Carolina0.632.8%1st Place
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10.8Embry-Riddle University0.552.5%1st Place
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11.64Duke University0.062.3%1st Place
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8.55University of South Florida1.026.8%1st Place
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10.63Florida International University0.523.4%1st Place
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12.46Rollins College-0.062.4%1st Place
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14.45Clemson University-0.770.9%1st Place
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16.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Steven Hardee | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Adam Larson | 15.4% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ian Street | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 1.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 2.9% |
| Jordan Byrd | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| KA Hamner | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 4.2% |
| Trevin Brown | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 29.8% | 16.8% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 12.1% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.