Race 11A

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 6.5% 6.7% 8.8% 8.6% 8.4% 7.6% 9.4% 7.9% 6.6% 8.8% 7.4% 5.7% 5.1% 2.5%
Jake Reynolds 10.9% 11.0% 10.6% 9.2% 9.6% 8.9% 9.2% 9.0% 7.7% 4.0% 4.4% 3.0% 1.7% 0.8%
Kyle Carney 8.9% 7.2% 7.9% 8.5% 7.7% 8.1% 6.9% 9.3% 7.7% 8.5% 7.6% 6.1% 3.6% 2.0%
Kevin Martland 10.8% 12.3% 9.5% 10.9% 10.2% 8.2% 10.4% 5.8% 8.5% 5.3% 3.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Griffin Orr 2.7% 2.3% 3.6% 3.8% 4.0% 6.1% 5.1% 5.7% 6.6% 7.1% 8.9% 13.1% 16.1% 14.9%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 2.8% 3.5% 3.1% 3.3% 4.2% 4.3% 3.9% 6.5% 8.6% 8.5% 10.2% 11.6% 15.0% 14.5%
Avery Fanning 16.8% 17.2% 12.2% 12.3% 9.5% 8.6% 7.4% 5.7% 3.3% 3.2% 2.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Nicholas Clemence 7.3% 8.4% 9.3% 7.4% 7.8% 9.2% 7.1% 7.8% 7.6% 7.8% 7.1% 5.7% 5.3% 2.2%
Caleb Armstrong 6.4% 4.2% 5.5% 6.1% 7.3% 5.9% 8.0% 9.4% 8.7% 8.3% 11.5% 7.6% 7.5% 3.6%
Gordon Wolcott 8.4% 8.1% 9.0% 9.9% 9.6% 8.8% 7.8% 8.4% 7.8% 8.0% 7.2% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2%
Michael Croteau 9.2% 8.0% 9.3% 9.2% 9.4% 8.8% 8.1% 8.3% 6.6% 8.2% 6.0% 4.5% 3.2% 1.2%
Joan Boyle 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 1.6% 1.8% 2.7% 2.7% 3.2% 5.4% 4.8% 6.4% 11.7% 15.4% 39.6%
Ian Towill 5.2% 6.9% 5.9% 6.1% 5.6% 7.5% 8.3% 7.8% 9.2% 9.5% 8.8% 8.0% 7.7% 3.5%
Ian Connors 2.7% 2.6% 3.6% 3.1% 4.9% 5.3% 5.7% 5.2% 5.7% 8.0% 8.8% 15.2% 15.6% 13.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.