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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.22+8.86vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+3.70vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.95+3.59vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38+2.74vs Predicted
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5Florida International University0.52+6.13vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.63+4.95vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.64+0.21vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.73+1.53vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.34-1.18vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+0.47vs Predicted
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11Duke University0.06+1.15vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.19-4.08vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.60-6.51vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.54-6.90vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University0.55-3.63vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.58-5.34vs Predicted
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17Rollins College-0.06-3.92vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.29-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.86The Citadel1.223.5%1st Place
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5.7North Carolina State University1.7812.2%1st Place
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6.59Florida State University1.9510.7%1st Place
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6.74Jacksonville University-1.389.9%1st Place
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11.13Florida International University0.522.8%1st Place
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10.95University of South Carolina0.633.8%1st Place
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7.21University of Miami1.647.6%1st Place
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9.53Florida Institute of Technology0.734.2%1st Place
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7.82Eckerd College1.346.3%1st Place
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10.47Georgia Institute of Technology0.413.4%1st Place
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12.15Duke University0.062.1%1st Place
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7.92University of South Florida1.196.8%1st Place
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6.49University of South Florida1.609.3%1st Place
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7.1University of South Florida1.548.7%1st Place
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11.37Embry-Riddle University0.552.9%1st Place
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10.66Clemson University0.584.0%1st Place
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13.08Rollins College-0.061.4%1st Place
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16.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.290.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Adam Larson | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 3.1% |
| Ian Street | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
| Steven Hardee | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| matthew Monts | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 7.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 5.0% |
| Mason Baird | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| KA Hamner | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 10.8% |
| Caroline Lancaster | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.