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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+2.89vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.43+3.52vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.52+4.93vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.97-0.06vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.73-0.75vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.45+1.73vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.55+1.33vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.59+0.11vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-0.66-0.19vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55-1.94vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.27+1.70vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.85-2.80vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-1.29-2.67vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-2.71-0.59vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.45-7.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Penn State University1.1318.1%1st Place
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5.52Columbia University0.439.3%1st Place
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7.93SUNY Maritime College-0.525.2%1st Place
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3.94Virginia Tech0.9718.9%1st Place
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4.25Christopher Newport University0.7316.8%1st Place
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7.73Princeton University-0.454.5%1st Place
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8.33Washington College-0.553.8%1st Place
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8.11William and Mary-0.594.3%1st Place
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8.81Syracuse University-0.663.2%1st Place
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8.06Rochester Institute of Technology-0.554.5%1st Place
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12.7U. S. Military Academy-2.270.5%1st Place
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9.2Drexel University-0.853.1%1st Place
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10.33University of Delaware-1.292.0%1st Place
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13.41Rutgers University-2.710.6%1st Place
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7.78SUNY Stony Brook-0.455.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 18.1% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Zachary Bender | 18.9% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 16.8% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Finian Knight | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Maren Behnke | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Josh Elliott | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Sarra Salah | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 27.9% | 32.2% |
| Lucas Randle | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Seton Dill | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 6.6% |
| Corbin Brito | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 20.4% | 52.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.