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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+3.07vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.64+1.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis1.68+4.28vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.23+0.12vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.04+3.25vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine3.43-2.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles2.63-1.63vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California3.16-3.78vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.53vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.2%1st Place
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3.33Stanford University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.28University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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4.12University of Hawaii3.230.1%1st Place
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8.25Santa Clara University1.040.0%1st Place
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3.75University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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5.37University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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7.47University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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7.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sullivan | 15.6% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Peter Stemler | 22.7% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Lee | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 23.9% | 16.4% |
| William Petersen | 12.5% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Wyman | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 19.6% | 42.8% |
| Rex Cameron | 18.9% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Stephen Lue | 13.4% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Aubrey Toole | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 23.0% | 20.0% |
| Thomas Maher | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.