Race 1B

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Maria Sinagra 4.9% 3.2% 4.9% 6.9% 7.6% 7.0% 6.0% 7.2% 9.5% 10.0% 7.8% 10.0% 8.7% 6.3%
Nick Johnstone 14.7% 12.8% 11.1% 13.5% 10.9% 9.0% 7.7% 7.4% 5.4% 2.8% 1.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Duncan Howes 5.8% 6.0% 7.0% 7.5% 5.6% 6.5% 7.4% 8.6% 10.2% 9.8% 9.5% 7.6% 5.3% 3.2%
Robert Lippincott 3.3% 4.5% 6.7% 5.3% 6.9% 5.8% 6.7% 8.3% 9.2% 8.4% 8.7% 12.3% 9.0% 4.9%
Cameron Fraser 5.6% 7.3% 7.9% 8.5% 8.8% 8.4% 9.1% 7.7% 8.7% 8.5% 7.9% 5.7% 3.9% 2.0%
Alexander Curtiss 16.3% 17.8% 13.4% 10.9% 10.2% 11.0% 5.6% 4.3% 4.4% 3.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Pearson Potts 18.5% 16.6% 14.6% 11.2% 9.6% 9.9% 7.4% 4.3% 3.5% 2.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Charles Nunn 5.8% 6.0% 5.7% 6.7% 6.6% 7.2% 8.2% 9.1% 7.3% 8.4% 9.7% 8.0% 7.3% 4.0%
Peter Edmunds 6.2% 5.5% 7.3% 6.7% 7.3% 9.7% 8.9% 9.6% 8.0% 9.1% 10.1% 5.3% 4.4% 1.9%
Conor Lodge 5.5% 5.3% 6.2% 7.0% 9.8% 6.7% 7.7% 9.6% 7.8% 9.3% 8.8% 8.8% 5.0% 2.5%
Dylan Finneran 3.2% 4.1% 3.6% 4.9% 4.5% 4.8% 6.8% 7.2% 7.1% 9.2% 10.9% 12.4% 11.4% 9.9%
Luke Miller 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 2.2% 1.8% 3.2% 3.2% 3.7% 5.7% 7.2% 10.6% 18.6% 38.5%
Christopher Stessing 7.5% 8.0% 7.3% 7.3% 7.8% 8.5% 10.9% 8.9% 8.9% 7.7% 6.9% 5.1% 3.3% 1.9%
Chris Myers 1.8% 1.6% 2.6% 2.2% 2.2% 3.7% 4.4% 4.6% 6.3% 5.8% 7.4% 10.9% 21.7% 24.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.