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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.34+6.62vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.60+4.61vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.95+3.60vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78+1.50vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.63+6.14vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.54+1.26vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University0.55+4.46vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+2.47vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology0.73+0.53vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University-1.38-3.08vs Predicted
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11The Citadel1.22-0.95vs Predicted
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12Florida International University0.52-0.88vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.19-5.25vs Predicted
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14Duke University0.06-1.84vs Predicted
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15Rollins College-0.06-2.06vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.29+0.22vs Predicted
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17Clemson University0.58-6.42vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.64-10.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62Eckerd College1.347.4%1st Place
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6.61University of South Florida1.608.5%1st Place
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6.6Florida State University1.959.6%1st Place
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5.5North Carolina State University1.7812.9%1st Place
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11.14University of South Carolina0.633.0%1st Place
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7.26University of South Florida1.548.5%1st Place
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11.46Embry-Riddle University0.553.1%1st Place
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10.47Georgia Institute of Technology0.412.9%1st Place
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9.53Florida Institute of Technology0.734.4%1st Place
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6.92Jacksonville University-1.388.5%1st Place
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10.05The Citadel1.224.0%1st Place
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11.12Florida International University0.522.8%1st Place
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7.75University of South Florida1.197.1%1st Place
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12.16Duke University0.062.2%1st Place
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12.94Rollins College-0.061.8%1st Place
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16.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.290.6%1st Place
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10.58Clemson University0.583.8%1st Place
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7.08University of Miami1.648.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| matthew Monts | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 4.5% |
| Roberto Martelli | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Emily Allen | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 7.1% |
| KA Hamner | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 12.0% |
| Caroline Lancaster | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 13.2% | 59.7% |
| Mason Baird | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Steven Hardee | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.