Race 2B

atlantic-coast-tournament

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nick Johnstone 12.7% 14.8% 12.1% 11.8% 10.4% 9.0% 8.5% 5.8% 4.7% 2.8% 4.2% 1.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Alexander Curtiss 18.8% 15.6% 14.9% 11.9% 11.7% 8.9% 6.4% 4.2% 3.5% 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2%
Pearson Potts 16.3% 17.8% 14.8% 10.1% 9.5% 9.8% 7.4% 5.1% 4.1% 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Dylan Finneran 2.8% 3.6% 4.3% 4.9% 4.6% 6.1% 6.4% 6.6% 7.8% 10.7% 9.4% 12.3% 11.3% 9.2%
Peter Edmunds 5.7% 5.6% 7.5% 7.1% 8.8% 7.8% 8.2% 9.4% 8.5% 7.8% 7.9% 9.0% 5.0% 1.7%
Robert Lippincott 4.7% 4.0% 4.7% 4.4% 6.1% 7.0% 7.9% 7.7% 8.6% 9.1% 9.3% 11.4% 9.8% 5.3%
Charles Nunn 5.9% 6.4% 6.6% 7.1% 5.4% 8.1% 8.9% 8.3% 9.6% 9.0% 8.4% 7.5% 6.3% 2.5%
Cameron Fraser 7.3% 7.7% 8.8% 8.0% 8.4% 7.6% 7.9% 9.5% 7.6% 7.9% 7.0% 6.5% 4.4% 1.4%
Conor Lodge 6.4% 4.3% 6.7% 7.3% 6.6% 7.7% 9.0% 10.3% 9.0% 9.1% 9.0% 6.9% 5.2% 2.5%
Luke Miller 1.5% 0.8% 1.5% 2.4% 0.9% 1.6% 3.3% 3.0% 3.9% 5.7% 7.3% 9.8% 17.3% 41.0%
Christopher Stessing 6.8% 7.2% 5.7% 9.3% 9.6% 7.9% 8.5% 8.8% 8.4% 9.3% 7.3% 5.4% 4.4% 1.4%
Duncan Howes 4.8% 5.6% 5.4% 7.2% 7.8% 8.6% 7.7% 9.3% 10.1% 8.5% 8.2% 6.3% 6.2% 4.3%
Chris Myers 2.2% 2.0% 2.0% 2.7% 2.4% 2.9% 4.2% 4.4% 5.9% 5.4% 8.7% 11.4% 19.6% 26.2%
Maria Sinagra 4.1% 4.6% 5.0% 5.8% 7.8% 7.0% 5.7% 7.6% 8.3% 10.7% 10.0% 10.7% 8.6% 4.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.