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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.95+5.56vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+3.52vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.34+4.53vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.22+5.83vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-1.38+1.64vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.60+0.25vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+3.43vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.64-1.20vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.54-1.90vs Predicted
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10Florida International University0.52+0.81vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.73-1.81vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-0.77+2.68vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.19-5.55vs Predicted
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14Duke University0.06-2.12vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University0.55-4.05vs Predicted
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16Rollins College-0.06-3.55vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina0.63-6.12vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.29-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Florida State University1.959.3%1st Place
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5.52North Carolina State University1.7812.3%1st Place
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7.53Eckerd College1.347.1%1st Place
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9.83The Citadel1.224.1%1st Place
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6.64Jacksonville University-1.388.9%1st Place
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6.25University of South Florida1.6010.3%1st Place
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10.43Georgia Institute of Technology0.413.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Miami1.649.0%1st Place
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7.1University of South Florida1.547.8%1st Place
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10.81Florida International University0.523.1%1st Place
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9.19Florida Institute of Technology0.735.6%1st Place
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14.68Clemson University-0.770.5%1st Place
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7.45University of South Florida1.198.1%1st Place
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11.88Duke University0.061.8%1st Place
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10.95Embry-Riddle University0.552.9%1st Place
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12.45Rollins College-0.061.9%1st Place
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10.88University of South Carolina0.633.6%1st Place
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16.06University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.290.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Rodriguez | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Emily Allen | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Steven Hardee | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Trevin Brown | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 23.6% | 24.9% |
| Humberto Porrata | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 4.7% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| KA Hamner | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 7.6% |
| Ian Street | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Lancaster | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 16.9% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.