Race 3B

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Pearson Potts 17.0% 18.7% 13.2% 12.2% 8.6% 9.7% 5.4% 5.3% 3.9% 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexander Curtiss 19.8% 15.2% 14.7% 11.7% 10.9% 9.9% 7.0% 3.6% 3.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 5.7% 6.2% 6.3% 7.5% 6.8% 4.7% 8.9% 8.8% 8.7% 10.3% 8.9% 9.0% 5.3% 2.9%
Peter Edmunds 4.4% 8.2% 6.7% 7.8% 7.3% 9.4% 9.1% 8.1% 8.1% 7.9% 9.9% 6.1% 5.1% 1.9%
Nick Johnstone 11.0% 11.9% 13.2% 12.8% 10.8% 8.0% 9.3% 7.0% 5.5% 5.1% 3.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.3%
Robert Lippincott 4.4% 3.9% 5.3% 4.1% 5.6% 7.4% 7.4% 8.3% 9.1% 8.5% 9.8% 9.4% 11.4% 5.4%
Christopher Stessing 8.3% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 10.2% 8.1% 8.7% 8.8% 7.6% 7.9% 5.5% 6.3% 3.7% 0.9%
Dylan Finneran 4.2% 3.4% 4.5% 4.1% 6.8% 4.9% 6.2% 7.0% 6.5% 8.7% 9.9% 11.7% 13.6% 8.5%
Conor Lodge 5.9% 5.1% 6.7% 6.1% 6.3% 9.0% 9.7% 8.8% 9.8% 9.3% 8.4% 7.3% 5.1% 2.5%
Cameron Fraser 6.4% 7.2% 6.2% 8.9% 9.2% 8.3% 8.3% 10.6% 9.2% 8.2% 6.0% 6.1% 3.3% 2.1%
Charles Nunn 5.3% 4.9% 5.4% 6.5% 7.6% 7.0% 8.6% 8.7% 10.0% 8.1% 8.6% 8.8% 6.9% 3.6%
Luke Miller 1.2% 1.1% 1.9% 1.8% 1.4% 3.4% 2.2% 2.7% 3.4% 5.1% 7.3% 10.8% 16.9% 40.8%
Chris Myers 2.4% 1.9% 1.7% 2.7% 2.9% 3.0% 3.0% 4.1% 6.0% 6.8% 8.9% 11.3% 18.1% 27.2%
Maria Sinagra 4.0% 4.3% 6.2% 5.8% 5.6% 7.2% 6.2% 8.2% 9.1% 9.7% 10.2% 10.7% 8.9% 3.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.