Race 4B

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Robert Lippincott 5.1% 3.4% 6.1% 5.8% 6.8% 6.8% 7.7% 7.1% 10.2% 7.4% 9.8% 9.4% 10.0% 4.4%
Peter Edmunds 6.1% 8.8% 7.3% 7.5% 7.6% 7.8% 8.9% 8.7% 9.1% 9.6% 6.8% 5.6% 4.8% 1.4%
Pearson Potts 17.8% 16.7% 12.8% 12.3% 9.7% 8.8% 8.2% 5.0% 4.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Cameron Fraser 6.1% 8.1% 8.3% 7.1% 7.6% 9.1% 9.1% 9.3% 6.4% 9.3% 8.7% 5.1% 4.1% 1.7%
Christopher Stessing 5.0% 7.8% 7.8% 8.9% 8.4% 9.0% 7.5% 8.9% 8.7% 8.3% 7.0% 7.4% 3.7% 1.6%
Conor Lodge 5.8% 5.7% 6.1% 7.5% 7.6% 9.0% 6.6% 9.2% 8.1% 9.5% 9.0% 7.8% 5.6% 2.5%
Alexander Curtiss 20.5% 15.4% 13.9% 11.9% 10.4% 9.8% 6.8% 4.3% 3.5% 1.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Dylan Finneran 4.8% 3.5% 4.9% 4.3% 5.1% 4.2% 6.7% 7.0% 7.0% 8.5% 10.7% 12.2% 11.3% 9.8%
Nick Johnstone 12.2% 12.2% 12.1% 11.7% 12.9% 8.4% 8.6% 7.1% 4.8% 5.0% 2.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3%
Duncan Howes 5.1% 4.8% 5.7% 8.0% 6.9% 7.5% 7.4% 9.1% 8.1% 9.3% 10.3% 8.1% 7.4% 2.3%
Luke Miller 0.9% 1.9% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 2.3% 4.6% 4.1% 5.3% 6.1% 11.0% 15.9% 42.1%
Maria Sinagra 3.4% 4.6% 4.9% 4.6% 6.6% 7.5% 7.0% 7.5% 8.4% 10.0% 11.1% 9.3% 10.0% 5.1%
Charles Nunn 5.5% 5.3% 6.5% 6.7% 6.1% 7.8% 8.9% 7.1% 10.1% 8.6% 8.6% 10.1% 5.7% 3.0%
Chris Myers 1.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.3% 2.8% 2.7% 4.3% 5.1% 6.9% 5.5% 7.5% 11.2% 20.2% 25.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.