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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+4.38vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.64+4.91vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.54+3.88vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38+2.78vs Predicted
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5The Citadel1.22+4.78vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.63+4.57vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.60-0.53vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+2.34vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology0.73+0.15vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.34-2.57vs Predicted
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11Florida International University0.52-0.23vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.06-0.06vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University0.55-1.91vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.95-7.49vs Predicted
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15Rollins College-0.06-2.31vs Predicted
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16Clemson University-0.77-1.34vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.19-9.31vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.29-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38North Carolina State University1.7812.2%1st Place
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6.91University of Miami1.648.8%1st Place
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6.88University of South Florida1.548.3%1st Place
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6.78Jacksonville University-1.388.2%1st Place
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9.78The Citadel1.223.8%1st Place
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10.57University of South Carolina0.633.1%1st Place
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6.47University of South Florida1.608.9%1st Place
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10.34Georgia Institute of Technology0.412.9%1st Place
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9.15Florida Institute of Technology0.734.9%1st Place
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7.43Eckerd College1.348.4%1st Place
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10.77Florida International University0.523.5%1st Place
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11.94Duke University0.062.8%1st Place
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11.09Embry-Riddle University0.552.6%1st Place
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6.51Florida State University1.9510.1%1st Place
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12.69Rollins College-0.062.1%1st Place
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14.66Clemson University-0.771.1%1st Place
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7.69University of South Florida1.197.6%1st Place
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15.99University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.290.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Ian Street | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| matthew Monts | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 4.9% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 2.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| KA Hamner | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 8.2% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 25.0% | 24.3% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Lancaster | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 16.7% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.