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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.60+5.41vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.54+4.92vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.95+3.43vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38+2.61vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.73+4.29vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.64+0.95vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.78-1.59vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+2.26vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.34-1.50vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.63+0.97vs Predicted
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11The Citadel1.22-1.08vs Predicted
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12Florida International University0.52-1.36vs Predicted
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13Duke University0.06-1.17vs Predicted
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14Rollins College-0.06-1.50vs Predicted
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15Clemson University-0.77-0.28vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University0.55-4.89vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.19-9.42vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.29-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41University of South Florida1.609.7%1st Place
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6.92University of South Florida1.547.6%1st Place
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6.43Florida State University1.959.2%1st Place
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6.61Jacksonville University-1.3810.5%1st Place
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9.29Florida Institute of Technology0.735.0%1st Place
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6.95University of Miami1.647.8%1st Place
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5.41North Carolina State University1.7813.5%1st Place
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10.26Georgia Institute of Technology0.413.8%1st Place
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7.5Eckerd College1.346.8%1st Place
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10.97University of South Carolina0.632.7%1st Place
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9.92The Citadel1.223.4%1st Place
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10.64Florida International University0.523.9%1st Place
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11.83Duke University0.063.0%1st Place
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12.5Rollins College-0.061.5%1st Place
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14.72Clemson University-0.771.1%1st Place
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11.11Embry-Riddle University0.553.2%1st Place
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7.58University of South Florida1.196.8%1st Place
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15.95University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.290.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Steven Hardee | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 13.5% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| matthew Monts | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ian Street | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 4.9% |
| KA Hamner | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 8.2% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 25.4% | 24.7% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Lancaster | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 17.2% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.