Race 5B

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nick Johnstone 12.8% 14.3% 12.5% 12.0% 10.1% 8.6% 8.0% 6.7% 5.2% 3.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.7%
Alexander Curtiss 19.0% 15.6% 13.9% 13.8% 10.3% 9.2% 6.1% 4.6% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2%
Pearson Potts 17.2% 16.1% 13.8% 12.4% 10.2% 9.3% 5.7% 7.3% 3.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Christopher Stessing 5.6% 7.4% 8.9% 7.1% 8.9% 9.0% 9.1% 8.6% 9.0% 7.1% 7.8% 5.9% 4.2% 1.4%
Cameron Fraser 6.0% 6.7% 7.0% 9.3% 9.2% 7.9% 8.8% 8.4% 8.6% 8.1% 7.6% 6.9% 4.1% 1.4%
Dylan Finneran 3.9% 3.5% 2.6% 4.2% 5.1% 5.1% 6.9% 6.8% 8.7% 10.0% 10.2% 11.4% 12.0% 9.6%
Peter Edmunds 7.7% 7.4% 7.4% 7.3% 8.6% 7.9% 8.9% 8.1% 8.9% 7.5% 8.7% 5.5% 4.7% 1.4%
Duncan Howes 5.6% 6.0% 8.5% 5.9% 6.3% 7.8% 7.0% 8.3% 10.3% 9.0% 7.4% 7.2% 7.5% 3.2%
Robert Lippincott 4.6% 4.2% 3.3% 6.1% 6.2% 6.9% 7.4% 8.6% 8.2% 11.0% 10.1% 11.1% 7.8% 4.5%
Maria Sinagra 4.2% 4.1% 4.4% 4.9% 6.7% 7.5% 6.9% 5.9% 8.7% 9.6% 10.6% 11.1% 10.6% 4.8%
Luke Miller 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 1.1% 1.9% 1.8% 2.5% 4.6% 3.1% 5.5% 7.3% 9.3% 16.4% 42.2%
Conor Lodge 5.3% 5.5% 7.1% 7.5% 7.2% 8.4% 9.6% 8.1% 8.5% 9.5% 7.1% 8.2% 5.4% 2.6%
Charles Nunn 5.4% 5.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.8% 7.8% 8.5% 8.3% 8.5% 9.0% 9.2% 9.3% 5.8% 2.9%
Chris Myers 1.4% 2.2% 2.6% 1.9% 2.5% 2.8% 4.6% 5.7% 5.4% 4.8% 9.0% 11.4% 20.7% 25.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.