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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+3.27vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+6.08vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.90+4.17vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.71+3.79vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-0.71vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.77+1.68vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.51+1.12vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia3.01-1.16vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.00-2.10vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.62-4.96vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo1.34+0.71vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.84-4.62vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.10vs Predicted
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14Drexel University1.64-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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8.08Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.17Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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7.79Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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4.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.2%1st Place
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7.68Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.12George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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6.9Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.04College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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11.71University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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7.38Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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10.84Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 18.3% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Peter Edmunds | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Charles Nunn | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 15.5% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Howes | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 2.5% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Christopher Stessing | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Cameron Fraser | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Nick Johnstone | 12.5% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Luke Miller | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 44.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 7.1% |
| Chris Myers | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 20.5% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.