← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.78+4.31vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.19+5.36vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University1.95+3.22vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.54+2.96vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University-1.38+1.52vs Predicted
-
6Florida International University0.52+4.95vs Predicted
-
7The Citadel1.22+2.81vs Predicted
-
8University of South Carolina0.63+2.74vs Predicted
-
9Florida Institute of Technology0.73+0.18vs Predicted
-
10Embry-Riddle University0.55+0.89vs Predicted
-
11Rollins College-0.49+3.14vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami1.64-5.35vs Predicted
-
13Clemson University-0.17-1.00vs Predicted
-
14Duke University0.06-2.27vs Predicted
-
15Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-4.73vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida1.02-7.32vs Predicted
-
17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.29-1.03vs Predicted
-
18Eckerd College1.34-10.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.31North Carolina State University1.7813.8%1st Place
-
7.36University of South Florida1.197.6%1st Place
-
6.22Florida State University1.959.6%1st Place
-
6.96University of South Florida1.548.6%1st Place
-
6.52Jacksonville University-1.389.7%1st Place
-
10.95Florida International University0.522.1%1st Place
-
9.81The Citadel1.224.0%1st Place
-
10.74University of South Carolina0.633.4%1st Place
-
9.18Florida Institute of Technology0.734.9%1st Place
-
10.89Embry-Riddle University0.552.8%1st Place
-
14.14Rollins College-0.491.4%1st Place
-
6.65University of Miami1.6410.0%1st Place
-
12.0Clemson University-0.172.9%1st Place
-
11.73Duke University0.062.1%1st Place
-
10.27Georgia Institute of Technology0.414.1%1st Place
-
8.68University of South Florida1.025.5%1st Place
-
15.97University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.290.4%1st Place
-
7.63Eckerd College1.347.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Ian Street | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| Connor Teague | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 21.9% | 20.5% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Bialek | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 5.5% |
| Roberto Martelli | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Lancaster | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 55.1% |
| matthew Monts | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.