Race 7B

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Cameron Fraser 6.6% 6.7% 9.7% 8.8% 7.6% 8.7% 9.5% 8.9% 8.0% 7.2% 6.7% 5.0% 5.0% 1.6%
Pearson Potts 18.7% 15.4% 14.4% 12.2% 10.4% 10.6% 5.7% 4.3% 3.6% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Peter Edmunds 5.5% 8.0% 7.9% 7.1% 5.9% 8.6% 7.8% 8.8% 10.1% 9.3% 6.6% 8.6% 3.7% 2.1%
Duncan Howes 4.4% 5.6% 7.5% 7.0% 7.6% 6.8% 8.2% 9.0% 8.2% 9.7% 8.6% 8.6% 5.6% 3.2%
Nick Johnstone 11.8% 13.0% 11.5% 13.7% 10.4% 8.0% 9.0% 7.0% 5.7% 4.4% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Conor Lodge 5.7% 6.5% 4.8% 6.6% 8.3% 8.8% 7.7% 9.4% 9.8% 7.2% 8.2% 7.4% 7.7% 1.9%
Robert Lippincott 5.0% 5.1% 5.8% 6.5% 6.7% 6.2% 6.8% 8.2% 7.8% 9.6% 9.0% 10.9% 8.3% 4.1%
Alexander Curtiss 19.0% 17.2% 12.4% 12.3% 9.8% 7.0% 6.6% 5.6% 4.9% 2.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Christopher Stessing 7.3% 5.9% 7.6% 7.0% 8.6% 10.2% 10.1% 8.4% 8.1% 7.4% 8.8% 5.2% 3.9% 1.5%
Maria Sinagra 3.9% 4.2% 5.1% 3.8% 7.6% 6.9% 7.4% 7.8% 7.0% 9.9% 9.8% 10.6% 9.6% 6.4%
Dylan Finneran 3.9% 3.5% 2.7% 4.6% 5.1% 5.5% 7.4% 7.1% 8.8% 7.9% 10.2% 11.0% 14.1% 8.2%
Luke Miller 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 1.3% 1.6% 2.4% 2.8% 2.7% 3.9% 5.7% 7.1% 11.0% 16.2% 40.9%
Chris Myers 2.3% 1.9% 1.4% 2.9% 2.8% 3.6% 3.5% 2.9% 6.2% 6.2% 9.9% 10.7% 18.5% 27.2%
Charles Nunn 4.8% 5.3% 7.6% 6.2% 7.6% 6.7% 7.5% 9.9% 7.9% 10.6% 9.5% 8.1% 5.9% 2.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.