← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1The Citadel0.19+8.54vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.09+3.05vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University1.62+1.69vs Predicted
-
4University of South Carolina1.18+2.40vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College0.90+2.68vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.45-0.50vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami0.84+0.96vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College0.44+0.71vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida0.36-1.09vs Predicted
-
10Rollins College0.10-0.80vs Predicted
-
11Clemson University0.23-1.56vs Predicted
-
12Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+0.52vs Predicted
-
13Embry-Riddle University-0.58-0.63vs Predicted
-
14University of Central Florida-0.46-2.23vs Predicted
-
15Jacksonville University1.20-8.74vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-0.91vs Predicted
-
17Georgia Institute of Technology-1.94-1.26vs Predicted
-
18Duke University-1.61-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.54The Citadel0.193.8%1st Place
-
5.05North Carolina State University1.0914.3%1st Place
-
4.69Florida State University1.6215.4%1st Place
-
6.4University of South Carolina1.188.7%1st Place
-
7.68Eckerd College0.905.7%1st Place
-
5.5University of South Florida1.4512.3%1st Place
-
7.96University of Miami0.846.0%1st Place
-
8.71Eckerd College0.444.4%1st Place
-
7.91University of South Florida0.365.7%1st Place
-
9.2Rollins College0.104.0%1st Place
-
9.44Clemson University0.234.5%1st Place
-
12.52Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.2%1st Place
-
12.37Embry-Riddle University-0.581.3%1st Place
-
11.77University of Central Florida-0.462.2%1st Place
-
6.26Jacksonville University1.209.0%1st Place
-
15.09University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.4%1st Place
-
15.74Georgia Institute of Technology-1.940.4%1st Place
-
15.16Duke University-1.610.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Buck | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 14.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 15.4% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Erik Volk | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Rowan Barnes | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 4.2% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 2.9% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Brent Penwarden | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 23.5% | 25.8% |
| James Elder | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 21.0% | 38.2% |
| William Robertson | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 23.5% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.