Race 8B

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alexander Curtiss 18.6% 16.6% 14.0% 12.4% 9.4% 8.4% 6.0% 5.4% 3.4% 3.1% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Peter Edmunds 5.7% 8.6% 8.5% 6.4% 8.3% 7.8% 7.4% 9.5% 11.1% 9.0% 6.5% 5.6% 3.4% 2.2%
Dylan Finneran 4.2% 3.9% 4.3% 4.5% 5.7% 5.4% 5.7% 6.2% 6.7% 8.8% 10.1% 12.5% 13.8% 8.2%
Charles Nunn 4.0% 5.3% 6.0% 7.2% 8.0% 8.0% 7.5% 7.6% 9.0% 8.6% 9.5% 8.6% 7.1% 3.6%
Nick Johnstone 11.1% 12.5% 13.4% 11.7% 10.2% 9.1% 9.9% 6.4% 5.6% 4.2% 2.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Cameron Fraser 6.2% 7.1% 7.7% 6.8% 9.7% 8.2% 9.1% 9.1% 8.3% 7.7% 7.9% 6.0% 4.6% 1.6%
Pearson Potts 18.6% 17.6% 13.2% 12.1% 9.6% 8.5% 7.6% 5.4% 3.0% 1.8% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Maria Sinagra 5.3% 4.2% 6.6% 4.7% 5.0% 8.1% 5.7% 7.7% 8.4% 8.1% 10.0% 10.2% 10.3% 5.7%
Duncan Howes 6.3% 4.4% 5.4% 6.0% 6.2% 9.2% 9.5% 8.0% 10.7% 8.2% 9.7% 8.5% 5.4% 2.5%
Christopher Stessing 6.2% 7.1% 6.5% 9.5% 8.0% 8.6% 9.5% 9.0% 7.8% 7.4% 8.3% 7.0% 3.2% 1.9%
Conor Lodge 6.0% 5.6% 6.2% 8.0% 8.2% 6.9% 8.1% 8.9% 9.1% 9.1% 8.6% 7.1% 5.3% 2.9%
Robert Lippincott 4.3% 3.7% 4.4% 6.0% 7.4% 7.2% 7.6% 9.0% 8.1% 10.2% 7.8% 9.6% 9.3% 5.4%
Chris Myers 2.4% 2.0% 2.4% 1.9% 2.8% 2.7% 3.9% 3.8% 4.6% 7.0% 9.8% 11.4% 19.4% 25.9%
Luke Miller 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 2.8% 1.5% 1.9% 2.5% 4.0% 4.2% 6.8% 6.3% 9.3% 16.9% 39.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.