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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.18+5.36vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.90+5.56vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.09+2.01vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.36+4.09vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.45+0.43vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.20+0.22vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.62-2.14vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.84+0.02vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.10+0.30vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+2.20vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.19-1.20vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College0.44-3.25vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.23-3.60vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.46-2.28vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.58-2.61vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-1.94-0.24vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-2.09vs Predicted
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18Duke University-1.61-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36University of South Carolina1.1810.2%1st Place
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7.56Eckerd College0.906.1%1st Place
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5.01North Carolina State University1.0914.1%1st Place
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8.09University of South Florida0.364.9%1st Place
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5.43University of South Florida1.4512.3%1st Place
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6.22Jacksonville University1.209.8%1st Place
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4.86Florida State University1.6213.9%1st Place
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8.02University of Miami0.845.8%1st Place
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9.3Rollins College0.104.0%1st Place
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12.2Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.2%1st Place
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9.8The Citadel0.192.9%1st Place
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8.75Eckerd College0.444.9%1st Place
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9.4Clemson University0.233.4%1st Place
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11.72University of Central Florida-0.462.3%1st Place
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12.39Embry-Riddle University-0.581.4%1st Place
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15.76Georgia Institute of Technology-1.940.4%1st Place
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14.91University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.9%1st Place
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15.22Duke University-1.610.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Carter Morin | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 3.3% |
| James Elder | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 21.8% | 38.6% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 16.9% | 21.8% | 24.3% |
| William Robertson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 23.6% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.