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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.09+3.99vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.62+2.80vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.45+2.26vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.90+3.49vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.18+1.18vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.36+1.89vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.84+0.18vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.84-0.10vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.44-0.53vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.23-0.66vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.19-1.62vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.10-2.96vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.76vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.46-2.31vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology-1.94+0.56vs Predicted
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16Duke University-1.61-0.95vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-0.58-4.74vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99North Carolina State University1.0914.9%1st Place
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4.8Florida State University1.6215.3%1st Place
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5.26University of South Florida1.4513.8%1st Place
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7.49Eckerd College0.906.8%1st Place
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6.18University of South Carolina1.188.8%1st Place
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7.89University of South Florida0.365.6%1st Place
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7.18Jacksonville University0.846.4%1st Place
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7.9University of Miami0.846.4%1st Place
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8.47Eckerd College0.444.5%1st Place
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9.34Clemson University0.233.4%1st Place
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9.38The Citadel0.193.1%1st Place
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9.04Rollins College0.104.1%1st Place
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12.24Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.8%1st Place
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11.69University of Central Florida-0.462.1%1st Place
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15.56Georgia Institute of Technology-1.940.4%1st Place
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15.05Duke University-1.610.7%1st Place
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12.26Embry-Riddle University-0.581.8%1st Place
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16.28University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 14.9% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 15.3% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 13.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| James Elder | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 25.2% | 28.0% |
| William Robertson | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 19.2% | 25.2% | 19.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Christine Moore | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 11.8% | 22.9% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.