Race 10B

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Cameron Fraser 6.5% 7.5% 8.5% 8.4% 9.7% 8.7% 8.1% 8.4% 8.7% 7.5% 6.9% 5.8% 3.5% 1.8%
Alexander Curtiss 19.6% 14.8% 15.3% 13.2% 9.4% 9.3% 7.0% 3.8% 3.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2%
Peter Edmunds 6.3% 7.0% 6.9% 8.1% 6.6% 7.5% 8.4% 9.7% 9.7% 8.5% 8.0% 7.8% 4.1% 1.4%
Charles Nunn 4.5% 5.7% 6.2% 6.6% 8.9% 6.8% 6.7% 9.0% 8.2% 8.4% 10.3% 9.8% 5.7% 3.2%
Pearson Potts 14.5% 16.0% 14.6% 12.8% 11.3% 9.3% 6.4% 5.2% 5.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 4.3% 4.0% 5.1% 5.1% 6.2% 6.3% 6.9% 7.3% 10.1% 9.1% 10.4% 10.1% 9.2% 5.9%
Nick Johnstone 14.5% 13.8% 12.6% 10.9% 11.4% 8.7% 7.8% 6.4% 5.9% 3.7% 1.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.3%
Duncan Howes 5.9% 6.8% 6.7% 6.4% 7.6% 6.4% 7.8% 8.2% 8.4% 9.3% 8.6% 7.8% 6.5% 3.6%
Conor Lodge 6.0% 5.5% 4.8% 7.5% 7.6% 8.1% 9.3% 9.8% 8.6% 8.1% 10.0% 7.6% 5.0% 2.1%
Luke Miller 1.5% 1.4% 1.1% 1.9% 1.5% 1.9% 2.7% 2.8% 4.2% 5.2% 7.7% 10.4% 16.7% 41.0%
Dylan Finneran 3.4% 3.4% 3.9% 3.8% 4.7% 7.1% 6.2% 6.6% 8.5% 9.2% 10.9% 10.6% 13.1% 8.6%
Maria Sinagra 3.9% 4.8% 3.8% 5.9% 5.6% 6.3% 8.8% 7.7% 7.6% 11.7% 9.2% 9.9% 8.8% 6.0%
Christopher Stessing 7.7% 7.7% 7.9% 6.8% 7.5% 10.3% 10.0% 8.1% 7.6% 8.7% 7.7% 5.2% 3.3% 1.5%
Chris Myers 1.4% 1.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.0% 3.3% 3.9% 7.0% 4.5% 5.4% 6.8% 12.2% 22.4% 24.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.