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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.64+2.23vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California3.16+2.21vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine3.43+0.70vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis1.68+3.19vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.23-1.99vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles2.63-1.73vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.01+0.20vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-1.98vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University1.04-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Stanford University3.640.2%1st Place
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4.21University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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3.7University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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7.19University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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3.96University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Hawaii3.230.2%1st Place
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5.27University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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8.2University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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7.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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8.2Santa Clara University1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Stemler | 24.0% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 13.7% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Rex Cameron | 17.2% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Lee | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 20.1% | 20.7% | 13.5% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 14.9% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| William Petersen | 15.6% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 6.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 24.3% | 35.6% |
| Thomas Maher | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 21.4% | 19.0% | 12.0% |
| Maxwell Wyman | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 24.2% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.