← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Peter Stemler 24.0% 20.5% 17.2% 11.6% 11.4% 7.6% 5.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Stephen Lue 13.7% 12.1% 15.6% 14.8% 13.6% 12.4% 9.9% 5.6% 2.1% 0.2%
Rex Cameron 17.2% 16.5% 16.0% 16.2% 13.5% 9.8% 6.6% 3.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Ryan Lee 2.5% 2.9% 3.9% 4.9% 6.3% 10.4% 14.8% 20.1% 20.7% 13.5%
Ryan Sullivan 14.9% 15.8% 15.0% 13.5% 16.0% 11.0% 8.2% 3.5% 1.8% 0.3%
William Petersen 15.6% 15.4% 13.0% 15.4% 13.9% 11.1% 8.6% 5.0% 1.8% 0.2%
Oscar Jasklowski 6.2% 9.7% 9.7% 11.8% 12.5% 16.8% 13.9% 12.2% 5.2% 2.0%
Lauren Amery 1.1% 1.9% 2.6% 3.4% 3.7% 5.1% 8.5% 13.8% 24.3% 35.6%
Thomas Maher 3.3% 3.9% 4.2% 4.9% 6.4% 9.5% 15.4% 21.4% 19.0% 12.0%
Maxwell Wyman 1.5% 1.3% 2.8% 3.5% 2.7% 6.3% 9.0% 12.7% 24.2% 36.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.