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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+2.79vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.46+3.60vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.97+0.75vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.73+0.29vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.52+2.53vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.17+3.97vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.43-1.58vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.55+0.05vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-0.66-0.63vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.59-2.18vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.45-3.39vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-2.74+0.49vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-2.71-0.52vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Penn State University1.1319.9%1st Place
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5.6Princeton University0.469.4%1st Place
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3.75Virginia Tech0.9718.9%1st Place
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4.29Christopher Newport University0.7315.7%1st Place
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7.53SUNY Maritime College-0.524.8%1st Place
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9.97Drexel University-1.171.8%1st Place
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5.42Columbia University0.439.7%1st Place
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8.05Washington College-0.553.9%1st Place
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8.37Syracuse University-0.663.9%1st Place
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7.82William and Mary-0.593.9%1st Place
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7.61SUNY Stony Brook-0.454.2%1st Place
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12.49U. S. Military Academy-2.740.4%1st Place
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12.48Rutgers University-2.710.5%1st Place
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7.84Rochester Institute of Technology-0.553.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 19.9% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Bender | 18.9% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 15.7% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 21.2% | 16.1% | 5.8% |
| Eva DeCastro | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Maren Behnke | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Finian Knight | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Nic Delia | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 26.8% | 44.5% |
| Corbin Brito | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 29.4% | 43.7% |
| Josh Elliott | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.