Race 11B

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nick Johnstone 13.2% 14.0% 12.8% 11.3% 10.2% 9.9% 7.0% 6.2% 5.2% 4.1% 2.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
Charles Nunn 5.0% 7.3% 6.7% 7.7% 5.9% 6.3% 7.5% 9.4% 8.5% 10.3% 10.1% 7.2% 5.4% 2.7%
Pearson Potts 18.6% 13.4% 15.6% 11.9% 10.4% 8.4% 6.5% 6.2% 4.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 3.5% 5.0% 5.1% 6.1% 5.0% 8.2% 7.1% 6.8% 9.1% 10.6% 8.9% 10.3% 9.3% 5.0%
Dylan Finneran 3.1% 4.2% 3.4% 4.6% 5.1% 6.1% 6.1% 6.9% 7.4% 8.9% 11.0% 10.7% 13.0% 9.5%
Maria Sinagra 4.3% 4.1% 4.5% 4.0% 6.5% 6.0% 7.3% 8.6% 9.5% 10.0% 8.7% 9.5% 11.2% 5.8%
Conor Lodge 6.7% 7.3% 6.6% 7.0% 8.3% 8.6% 8.3% 7.4% 9.6% 9.8% 7.7% 6.1% 4.7% 1.9%
Christopher Stessing 6.7% 8.0% 8.7% 7.5% 8.6% 8.4% 9.2% 7.8% 7.9% 6.5% 8.6% 5.6% 4.8% 1.7%
Luke Miller 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 3.4% 3.1% 4.2% 6.4% 11.6% 17.0% 41.6%
Peter Edmunds 6.3% 4.6% 6.5% 7.7% 8.5% 8.8% 9.4% 8.2% 9.5% 8.7% 8.2% 7.8% 4.5% 1.3%
Cameron Fraser 6.6% 7.0% 6.1% 9.7% 8.7% 7.5% 8.6% 9.5% 8.4% 7.7% 8.0% 6.9% 3.7% 1.6%
Duncan Howes 4.5% 5.8% 6.8% 6.1% 7.6% 7.9% 9.4% 8.7% 9.2% 8.7% 8.2% 7.9% 6.1% 3.1%
Alexander Curtiss 18.6% 15.2% 13.7% 13.3% 11.0% 8.0% 6.4% 5.7% 3.0% 2.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Chris Myers 1.3% 2.6% 2.1% 1.5% 2.5% 3.8% 4.4% 5.2% 4.8% 5.8% 9.1% 12.9% 18.7% 25.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.