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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.18+5.29vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.84+5.87vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.90+4.40vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09+0.96vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.19+4.58vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+6.28vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.84+0.01vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.44+0.53vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.62-4.29vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.45-4.68vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.23-1.57vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.10-2.89vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.36-4.95vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.58-1.93vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.46-3.49vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-1.94-0.44vs Predicted
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17Duke University-1.61-1.95vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29University of South Carolina1.188.8%1st Place
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7.87University of Miami0.845.8%1st Place
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7.4Eckerd College0.906.9%1st Place
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4.96North Carolina State University1.0915.8%1st Place
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9.58The Citadel0.193.0%1st Place
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12.28Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.4%1st Place
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7.01Jacksonville University0.847.9%1st Place
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8.53Eckerd College0.444.1%1st Place
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4.71Florida State University1.6213.9%1st Place
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5.32University of South Florida1.4512.7%1st Place
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9.43Clemson University0.233.9%1st Place
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9.11Rollins College0.105.2%1st Place
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8.05University of South Florida0.365.2%1st Place
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12.07Embry-Riddle University-0.582.0%1st Place
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11.51University of Central Florida-0.462.1%1st Place
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15.56Georgia Institute of Technology-1.940.5%1st Place
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15.05Duke University-1.610.8%1st Place
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16.27University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 15.8% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 8.1% | 2.4% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joey Meagher | 13.9% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Carly Orhan | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Erik Volk | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| James Elder | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 15.2% | 25.6% | 29.7% |
| William Robertson | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 25.8% | 17.4% |
| Christine Moore | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 22.9% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.