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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.18+5.21vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.84+5.03vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.62+1.72vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09+0.99vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.90+2.35vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.45-0.66vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.36+0.85vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.840.00vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.44-0.43vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.10-0.82vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+1.26vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.23-2.71vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.46-1.34vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.58-1.91vs Predicted
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15The Citadel0.19-5.37vs Predicted
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16Duke University-1.61-0.93vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35-0.74vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-1.94-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21University of South Carolina1.1810.8%1st Place
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7.03Jacksonville University0.847.4%1st Place
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4.72Florida State University1.6215.8%1st Place
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4.99North Carolina State University1.0913.5%1st Place
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7.35Eckerd College0.906.9%1st Place
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5.34University of South Florida1.4513.0%1st Place
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7.85University of South Florida0.365.3%1st Place
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8.0University of Miami0.846.0%1st Place
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8.57Eckerd College0.444.2%1st Place
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9.18Rollins College0.104.1%1st Place
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12.26Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.6%1st Place
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9.29Clemson University0.233.5%1st Place
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11.66University of Central Florida-0.461.7%1st Place
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12.09Embry-Riddle University-0.581.9%1st Place
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9.63The Citadel0.193.0%1st Place
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15.07Duke University-1.610.8%1st Place
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16.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.1%1st Place
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15.49Georgia Institute of Technology-1.940.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joey Meagher | 15.8% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 13.5% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Ward | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 2.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| William Robertson | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 19.1% | 24.6% | 20.0% |
| Christine Moore | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 21.9% | 46.0% |
| James Elder | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 15.7% | 27.8% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.