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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.09+4.05vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.62+2.86vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.84+4.95vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.90+3.44vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.84+1.98vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.45-0.64vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.44+1.48vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina1.18-1.87vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.10+0.11vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.19-0.37vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+1.39vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.23-2.29vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.36-4.99vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.46-2.38vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.58-2.77vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-1.94-0.32vs Predicted
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17Duke University-1.61-1.76vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05North Carolina State University1.0913.9%1st Place
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4.86Florida State University1.6215.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Miami0.846.5%1st Place
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7.44Eckerd College0.908.5%1st Place
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6.98Jacksonville University0.846.7%1st Place
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5.36University of South Florida1.4511.9%1st Place
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8.48Eckerd College0.445.0%1st Place
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6.13University of South Carolina1.189.3%1st Place
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9.11Rollins College0.104.0%1st Place
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9.63The Citadel0.193.6%1st Place
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12.39Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.5%1st Place
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9.71Clemson University0.233.5%1st Place
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8.01University of South Florida0.365.3%1st Place
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11.62University of Central Florida-0.462.1%1st Place
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12.23Embry-Riddle University-0.582.0%1st Place
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15.68Georgia Institute of Technology-1.940.2%1st Place
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15.24Duke University-1.610.4%1st Place
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15.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 15.1% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| David Manley | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 4.4% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Erik Volk | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Lam | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 3.6% |
| James Elder | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 22.2% | 36.3% |
| William Robertson | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 23.5% | 27.1% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 22.4% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.