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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.09+4.06vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.84+5.93vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.18+3.31vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.90+3.50vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.84+2.09vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.45-0.74vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.44+1.54vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.10+1.14vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.36-1.00vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.19-0.35vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.62-6.29vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.46-0.33vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.23-3.47vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.58-1.74vs Predicted
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15Duke University-1.61+0.13vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-3.59vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-1.94-1.16vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06North Carolina State University1.0914.4%1st Place
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7.93University of Miami0.846.2%1st Place
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6.31University of South Carolina1.189.7%1st Place
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7.5Eckerd College0.906.6%1st Place
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7.09Jacksonville University0.847.1%1st Place
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5.26University of South Florida1.4513.0%1st Place
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8.54Eckerd College0.445.1%1st Place
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9.14Rollins College0.104.0%1st Place
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8.0University of South Florida0.364.9%1st Place
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9.65The Citadel0.193.4%1st Place
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4.71Florida State University1.6215.2%1st Place
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11.67University of Central Florida-0.461.7%1st Place
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9.53Clemson University0.233.8%1st Place
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12.26Embry-Riddle University-0.581.8%1st Place
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15.13Duke University-1.610.8%1st Place
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12.41Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.5%1st Place
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15.84Georgia Institute of Technology-1.940.4%1st Place
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14.97University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 14.4% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Ward | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Joey Meagher | 15.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
| William Robertson | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 23.4% | 24.9% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 3.8% |
| James Elder | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 12.2% | 21.8% | 39.8% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.