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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.62+3.74vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+3.05vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.19+6.56vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.84+4.05vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.18+1.44vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.84+0.98vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+5.22vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.10+1.07vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.36-1.11vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.45-4.66vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College0.44-2.24vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College0.90-4.52vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.46-1.27vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.23-4.74vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.00vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.58-3.57vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-1.94-1.08vs Predicted
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18Duke University-1.61-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Florida State University1.6214.9%1st Place
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5.05North Carolina State University1.0913.0%1st Place
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9.56The Citadel0.193.8%1st Place
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8.05University of Miami0.845.2%1st Place
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6.44University of South Carolina1.187.8%1st Place
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6.98Jacksonville University0.848.6%1st Place
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12.22Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.2%1st Place
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9.07Rollins College0.104.9%1st Place
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7.89University of South Florida0.365.1%1st Place
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5.34University of South Florida1.4514.0%1st Place
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8.76Eckerd College0.444.8%1st Place
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7.48Eckerd College0.906.3%1st Place
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11.73University of Central Florida-0.461.6%1st Place
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9.26Clemson University0.234.5%1st Place
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15.0University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.8%1st Place
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12.43Embry-Riddle University-0.581.2%1st Place
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15.92Georgia Institute of Technology-1.940.5%1st Place
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15.1Duke University-1.610.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 14.9% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 13.0% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Ward | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| David Manley | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Erik Volk | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 14.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Griffin Richardson | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Rowan Barnes | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 22.2% | 25.2% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 3.9% |
| James Elder | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 12.7% | 23.3% | 39.1% |
| William Robertson | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 23.6% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.