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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College0.90+6.41vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.20+4.03vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.09+1.97vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.84+3.91vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.18+1.44vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.62-1.35vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.45-1.61vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.09+2.34vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.23+0.14vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.36-2.04vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.19-1.48vs Predicted
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12Duke University-1.61+2.96vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College0.44-4.49vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.58-1.76vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-2.91vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.46-4.47vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-1.94-1.33vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Eckerd College0.905.9%1st Place
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6.03Jacksonville University1.2010.8%1st Place
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4.97North Carolina State University1.0912.8%1st Place
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7.91University of Miami0.846.3%1st Place
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6.44University of South Carolina1.188.6%1st Place
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4.65Florida State University1.6215.0%1st Place
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5.39University of South Florida1.4511.9%1st Place
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10.34Rollins College0.093.0%1st Place
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9.14Clemson University0.234.9%1st Place
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7.96University of South Florida0.366.0%1st Place
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9.52The Citadel0.193.2%1st Place
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14.96Duke University-1.610.6%1st Place
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8.51Eckerd College0.444.9%1st Place
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12.24Embry-Riddle University-0.581.6%1st Place
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12.09Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.7%1st Place
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11.53University of Central Florida-0.461.9%1st Place
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15.67Georgia Institute of Technology-1.940.5%1st Place
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16.23University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Richardson | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 12.8% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| David Manley | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Joey Meagher | 15.0% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Rowan Barnes | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Erik Volk | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| William Robertson | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 18.4% | 25.6% | 17.4% |
| Carter Morin | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| James Elder | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 16.6% | 27.0% | 28.4% |
| Christine Moore | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 20.5% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.