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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.23+1.13vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.74-0.18vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.66+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.36-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-2.04-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Western Washington University0.2331.5%1st Place
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1.82University of Washington0.7446.4%1st Place
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3.05University of Washington-0.6612.2%1st Place
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3.73University of Oregon-1.366.4%1st Place
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4.27University of Washington-2.043.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Blumhagen | 31.5% | 36.5% | 21.4% | 8.8% | 1.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 46.4% | 31.6% | 16.2% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Kahle | 12.2% | 18.1% | 32.4% | 26.8% | 10.4% |
| Molly McLeod | 6.4% | 8.7% | 19.5% | 36.2% | 29.2% |
| Willow Hoins | 3.5% | 5.1% | 10.5% | 23.0% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.