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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.23+1.08vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.74-0.14vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.66+0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-2.04+0.34vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.36-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Western Washington University0.2332.6%1st Place
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1.86University of Washington0.7445.3%1st Place
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3.02University of Washington-0.6612.8%1st Place
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4.34University of Washington-2.042.8%1st Place
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3.7University of Oregon-1.366.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Blumhagen | 32.6% | 37.8% | 20.3% | 8.0% | 1.3% |
| Erin Pamplin | 45.3% | 30.8% | 17.9% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Kahle | 12.8% | 17.1% | 33.2% | 28.3% | 8.5% |
| Willow Hoins | 2.8% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 21.3% | 61.6% |
| Molly McLeod | 6.5% | 9.4% | 19.2% | 37.2% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.