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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.23+1.13vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.74-0.16vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-2.04+1.33vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.66-0.99vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.36-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Western Washington University0.2331.2%1st Place
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1.84University of Washington0.7445.1%1st Place
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4.33University of Washington-2.042.9%1st Place
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3.01University of Washington-0.6613.5%1st Place
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3.69University of Oregon-1.367.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Blumhagen | 31.2% | 35.9% | 22.8% | 8.4% | 1.7% |
| Erin Pamplin | 45.1% | 32.6% | 16.4% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Willow Hoins | 2.9% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 21.6% | 61.3% |
| Sarah Kahle | 13.5% | 18.4% | 32.4% | 25.4% | 10.4% |
| Molly McLeod | 7.2% | 8.2% | 19.3% | 39.2% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.