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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.64+2.25vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine3.43+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.16+1.22vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.23+0.05vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles2.63+0.23vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-2.06vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis1.68+0.20vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University1.04+0.16vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-1.99vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.01-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Stanford University3.640.2%1st Place
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3.68University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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4.22University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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4.05University of Hawaii3.230.1%1st Place
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5.23University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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3.94University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.2%1st Place
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7.2University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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8.16Santa Clara University1.040.0%1st Place
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7.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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8.26University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Stemler | 22.6% | 21.8% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rex Cameron | 17.0% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Lue | 13.9% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| William Petersen | 13.5% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 15.9% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Lee | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 20.8% | 19.9% | 13.6% |
| Maxwell Wyman | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 23.8% | 34.5% |
| Thomas Maher | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 21.3% | 19.7% | 11.7% |
| Lauren Amery | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 23.7% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.