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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.43+4.46vs Predicted
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2Penn State University1.13+1.88vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.73+1.29vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.46+1.49vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.45+2.41vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55+1.79vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.97-3.13vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.66+0.45vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.52-1.40vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.17-0.13vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.55-2.91vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.59-4.15vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-2.74-0.49vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-2.71-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Columbia University0.439.1%1st Place
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3.88Penn State University1.1318.4%1st Place
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4.29Christopher Newport University0.7315.2%1st Place
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5.49Princeton University0.4610.6%1st Place
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7.41SUNY Stony Brook-0.455.1%1st Place
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7.79Rochester Institute of Technology-0.554.2%1st Place
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3.87Virginia Tech0.9718.5%1st Place
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8.45Syracuse University-0.662.9%1st Place
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7.6SUNY Maritime College-0.524.9%1st Place
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9.87Drexel University-1.171.7%1st Place
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8.09Washington College-0.553.9%1st Place
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7.85William and Mary-0.594.3%1st Place
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12.51U. S. Military Academy-2.740.7%1st Place
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12.44Rutgers University-2.710.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
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Eva DeCastro | 9.1% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Barrett Lhamon | 18.4% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Joshua Bendura | 15.2% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ossian Kamal | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Ernest Glukhov | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
Josh Elliott | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
Zachary Bender | 18.5% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Maren Behnke | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
Nicole Ostapowicz | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
Charlotte Shaw | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 21.1% | 15.4% | 4.8% |
Austin Latimer | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
Finian Knight | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
Nic Delia | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 28.8% | 45.7% |
Corbin Brito | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 28.6% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.